this post was submitted on 19 Jul 2025
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Risk perception completely askew. Ugo seems to lose his touch.
It's a good list of dangers... but the risk ratings? I don't agree with the assessments much at all.
Also, one should probably rate a risk both for the odds of it happening and also for the odds of it being low or high impact if it happened. Here he seems to use the risk idea in either sense interchangeably.
I'm also disappointed with Ugo for this post. It seems uncharacteristically poorly thought out and inconsistent. If climate change risk is high then also is crop loss and following famine, for example.