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I don't think that could be proved beyond a reasonable doubt.
Also, you could make an argument that, like, some diner near a polling place doing a special swayed the outcome of an election because it made the area look busy and potential voters decided they didn't have time.
Actually my point was more about needing more journalists and editors and newsroom support staff so that someone could have looked into this sooner and more aggressively
Probably only a few people see it and it doesn't have much impact
I appreciate the idea of limiting ourselves to people who make intentionally false statements, but when I intentionally say something like "race is a social construct" or "the president is a criminal" the average Republican thinks it's a false statement.
What these people did was super shitty, but I don't see a way to criminalize it without handing fascists a giant weapon to beat loud mouth leftists like me over the head with. I think the best remedy here is we get the names of everyone involved in this and then for the rest of their lives whenever they say anything of consequence we'll be able to say "Oh you're one of those liars who lied to all of us one time, I don't think I believe what you're claiming now."
This isn't about free speech. This is about selling information. Someone paid for this poll, and they didn't get what they paid for, which is relatively accurate information (polls are never 100% accurate, but 20% would be a crazy margin of error). That's what the fraud is. Like if someone paid you to photograph a dog show, but instead of the dogs, you only took photos of the humans in attendance.
Swaying something does not mean changed the results of it, it means influencing it strongly.