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Iran war likely to drag on for another six months, ex-US defense secretary warns
(www.theguardian.com)
this post was submitted on 06 Sep 2026
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United States | News & Politics
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I question whether the reich can sustain another six months of this.
Why not? The "war" consists of intermittent bombings then pulling back and sitting on their hands while handing out limited economic sanctions to the extent China won't flip out on them. Not much to endure for the US besides high oil prices and frankly the US has been there, done that before for the zionist entity during the OPEC embargo in the 70s when cars got like a 1/3rd the gas mileage they do now.
Iran is refraining from striking the zionist entity so interceptors running out isn't a problem as it's just GCC vassals who get hit. US can just ignore Iran aside from a few feel-good strikes on radar and mine deployments across the strait while encouraging GCC countries to build pipelines. That way those countries never end up paying Iranian tolls, never falling under Iranian influence.
Trump doesn't want his meeting with Xi this month cancelled so after that, by October or November after the elections he could slap on much harsher economic sanctions against China to try to pry it away from Iran. May be just the thing to crash the economy which I increasingly think they want because it will wipe out retirement funds for workers, drive up prices, etc which makes workers more desperate and exploitable while funneling that money to the top.
Because of the impact on the US economy. Iran controls the rate the oil is flowing out of the Gulf, and there's already a severe impact on the global economy. The effects have been amortized by the release of strategic reserves, but those are starting to run dry as well. On top of that, it's the US and their vassals in Europe and Asia who are the most affected by the crisis.
What Iranians are doing is dismantling the vassals around them which pushes back American bases, hurts American energy supplies, and creates chaos for their vassals in the Gulf. Israel isn't really the primary concern here. Once US position in the region collapses, they gonna be fucked as well.
On top of that, even American media is complaining about the logistics problems the US navy has because Iran killed the fifth fleet base in Bahrain and now they have to pull supplies from thousands of kilometres away. Even the whole blockade the US is attempting to run is becoming sustainable already.
There's a reason the US is now trying to move to economic warfare even though Iran keeps clapping them in Jordan. The US isn't even trying to respond to the last trike. And isolating Iran is obviously impossible because neither Russia or China will agree to that.
We already know the US cannot sanction China because we saw how the tariff war went. The US was forced to walk that back immediately, and nothing has changed since then. If you think China will cave on this, I have a bridge to sell you.
So the US is fucked both militarily and economically now. They have no way out.
Part of the power of American propaganda is convincing people that the reich is invulnerable and nobody can stand up to them.
Trump doesn't care about sinking the US but he does seem to slightly care about the upcoming elections.
Iran seems to be taking potshots at US ships since the US would love nothing more than stalling.
It's pretty clear that Iran isn't going to run the war on American timelines. And as the US attempts to strangle them economically, I expect Iran will continue escalating military action against the US and its vassals in the region.