this post was submitted on 10 Jun 2026
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long term I mean 10, 20, 30 years.

Some people say yes, because my horizon are these years, long after trump is gone, but I wonder if I should wait till after the midterms or after the presidential election.

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[–] Melobol@lemmy.ml 10 points 1 month ago

Just a food for thought eery election brings a rally in the stock market. No matter who wins the market will be up.

[–] hperrin@lemmy.ca 7 points 1 month ago (1 children)

Every Republican president in my entire lifetime has caused a major economic disaster by the end of their presidency. I would hold off for that reason.

[–] SpaceNoodle@lemmy.world 4 points 1 month ago (2 children)

Do you not think that has happened? Now seems like the right time to buy, not to mention that the best time to buy for any long-term strategy is now, rather than waiting for some perfect moment that will never come.

[–] Nonconfrontational@lemmy.ml 6 points 1 month ago (1 children)

We're about to experience a great depression when this oil shock really takes effect. We're burning through strategic reserves faster than ever before. There won't be enough fertilizer to feed the earth's population. Millions will starve. You've got bigger things to worry about in the next 2 years. Good luck.

[–] SpaceNoodle@lemmy.world 1 points 1 month ago (2 children)

I have a feeling we're gonna be eating TACOs first.

[–] Nonconfrontational@lemmy.ml 1 points 1 month ago (1 children)

I have a feeling Israel is calling the shots now, lol.

[–] SpaceNoodle@lemmy.world 2 points 1 month ago

Fair enough.

[–] oeuf@slrpnk.net 1 points 1 month ago (2 children)

It's already too late. Even if everything goes 'back to normal' tomorrow we'll be feeling all of the delayed economic effects of this which haven't even come into full effect yet. That's just in the short/medium term. In the long term there's definitely going to be a very big impact on the way the world interacts with the US and therefore the global economy. I think that those of us who are fortunate enough to survive it are going to live through one of civilisation's big 're-shapings', of which this war with Iran will be an important episode of an important chapter.

[–] SpaceNoodle@lemmy.world 2 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

Look at the long-term effects of the dot-com crash.

[–] Nonconfrontational@lemmy.ml 2 points 1 month ago

The most fucked up part imo is that if we have history books in the future, these events will be recorded in months and not years.

[–] hperrin@lemmy.ca 2 points 1 month ago (1 children)

The right time to buy is when the market is low.

[–] SpaceNoodle@lemmy.world 4 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (2 children)

The best time to buy for any long-term strategy is now, rather than waiting for some perfect moment that will never come.

When exactly will it be low enough for your perfect moment?

[–] sneaky@r.nf 1 points 1 month ago

When they raise interest rates to counter inflation and unemployment.

General markets aren't that bad right now. We're still going up. It just has all the signs of becoming bad soon.

[–] hperrin@lemmy.ca 1 points 1 month ago (1 children)

My guess is when the AI bubble pops.

[–] SpaceNoodle@lemmy.world 2 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

That could be years out, and we can only guess at what exactly the fallout will be. The best time to start a long-term investment is still now.

[–] slazer2au@lemmy.world 5 points 1 month ago

It always is for long terms. The phrase 'time in the market matters, not timing the market' when dealing with long term investments.
Even if there is a crash next month/year the dividends on the downturn will be drivers of gains over the next economic cycle.

[–] VoodooAardvark@lemmy.zip 2 points 1 month ago

General total market exposure: yes. ETFs can provide exposure to the total market, just tech, renewable energy, etc - if you have conviction about a sector/theme of individual equities there’s probably an ETF for that. That said, “ETF” alone doesn’t tell us much other than you’d like to play safer and more easily than picking individual stocks to play. When shopping, check in on what specific stocks the ETFs are invested in and how they’re weighted compared to others in the same theme you’re looking into.

[–] sneaky@r.nf 1 points 1 month ago

If your time frame is 10-30 years you can jump in any time and expect a decent return by the end. Timing the bottom is quite tricky. With your extended time frame it wouldn't be the end of the world if you miss the bottom.

If you still want to try though, familiarize yourself with what's going on at central banks. Why and what actions they take and how those actions impact markets.

Then you're up to speed with the rest of us wondering if Warsh can even do what Cheeto wants or of the board will outweigh him.