this post was submitted on 24 Jun 2026
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[–] Buffalox@lemmy.world 52 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago) (3 children)

The war has come back to Russia, and they are losing badly now, after a long period of deteriorating military strength, and an economy that is just as bad as when the Soviet Union collapsed.
While Ukraine has increased in strength, and has a positive economic outlook as a member of the EU.

[–] pennomi@lemmy.world 19 points 1 week ago (4 children)

I want to believe that is true, but things are still dire for Ukraine. Russia is still constantly creeping forward, taking territory little by little.

Ukraine is doing the right thing though, starve Russia of fuel. With enough of that, they won’t be able to resupply their troops and their war machine will collapse.

[–] dbdr@nord.pub 23 points 1 week ago (1 children)

The tide has turned.

Ukraine is starting to regain more ground than it is losing for the first time since 2023. Ukrainian forces liberated more territory than they lost in the last two weeks of February 2026 for the first time since the Summer 2023 counteroffensive. Russian forces suffered a net loss of 116 square kilometers of territory in April 2026. Ukrainian Commander-in-Chief General Oleksandr Syrskyi stated on May 15 that precise Ukrainian strikes, the destruction of Russian reserves, and constant pressure on Russian assault units have allowed Ukrainian forces to increasingly seize the tactical initiative and force Russian forces to react to a Ukrainian-defined operational tempo.

https://understandingwar.org/research/russia-ukraine/ukraines-intermediate-range-strike-campaign-and-new-mechanized-attacks-herald-the-start-of-a-new-phase-of-the-war/

[–] pennomi@lemmy.world 16 points 1 week ago (2 children)

Since February (the timeline you are claiming), Ukraine has lost territory. Not a lot, but Russia is creeping forward. Kostiantynivka in particular seems like it’s in trouble.

Now please understand, I don’t actually think it matters who gains a km here or there. Ukraine is doing the right thing by enforcing “long range sanctions”, and I think they’re going to win because of it. But I’m under no illusions that Ukraine is capturing more territory than they are losing right now.

[–] Nautalax@lemmy.world 9 points 1 week ago (1 children)

Did they? Someone made a graph based on ISW data that showed the last few months as Ukraine gaining on net

[–] pennomi@lemmy.world 4 points 1 week ago

I think there are lots of conflicting sources. (I’m sure ISW knows better than I do, I’m an internet rando.) Other visualizations I’ve looked at show very slow advances over the last couple of months.

[–] rbos@lemmy.ca 4 points 1 week ago

Between February and now that is true, but the last few months have seen small net gains by Ukraine. Whether that trend holds out is up in the air, but they have been doing a number on Russian logistics. Crimea in particular is struggling mightily with fuel shortages.

[–] yucandu@lemmy.world 6 points 1 week ago (1 children)

Not to mention the thousands of children Russia kidnapped, and god knows what happened to them.

[–] ExLisper@lemmy.curiana.net -1 points 1 week ago

As sad as it is, those children will have no impact on the economy of Ukraine.

[–] ExLisper@lemmy.curiana.net 3 points 1 week ago

Of course Russia is creeping forward. I makes no sense for Ukraine to let their people die to protect every square km of Ukraine. Their strategy is it slow Russia as much as possible while limiting their own losses. Basically make Russia bleed out and never reach Kiev.

[–] ennof@feddit.org 2 points 1 week ago

As far as I know, Ukraine is now taking more territory than it is losing. It is Ukraine that is now constantly creeping forward. Russia is losing occupied territory.

[–] Goldholz@lemmy.blahaj.zone 11 points 1 week ago (1 children)

I'd say the soviet union collaps was not as worse as this. But idk wasnt born yet

[–] PalmTreeIsBestTree@lemmy.world 4 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago)

Right after it collapsed, Russia lost a good chunk of its territory and later fought two bloody wars in Chechnya which more or less turned its military into a glorified joke you see today.

[–] ExLisper@lemmy.curiana.net 6 points 1 week ago (1 children)

While Ukraine has increased in strength, and has a positive economic outlook as a member of the EU.

Not just a member, as a strategic ally. Ukraine has been absolutely destroying NATO in recent military exercises. They have technology and know-how beyond any other EU country. Now that US switched sides Europe will need Ukraine to build up their defensive capabilities. When the war ends Ukraine will be well positioned to become huge arms supplier.

[–] Buffalox@lemmy.world 3 points 1 week ago

as a strategic ally

Yes, but Ukraine is already a major strategic ally, helping partners learn modern drone warfare.

Europe will need Ukraine to build up their defensive capabilities.

Absolutely, Ukraine has by far the strongest military in Europe now. But as mentioned before, this process has already started.
There are major cooperative work going on between Ukraine and European countries already. It is not only Europe helping Ukraine, it's already both ways. Ukraine has managed to have production enough in some areas that Ukraine is even selling military equipment too now.

[–] MrNesser@lemmy.world 20 points 1 week ago (1 children)

They have to wait for the top to come down

[–] einkorn@feddit.org 7 points 1 week ago (1 children)

So that's what they meant when they said the oil price is way up?

[–] MrNesser@lemmy.world 7 points 1 week ago

think the term is "Sky High"

[–] tempest@lemmy.ca 12 points 1 week ago

Russia is definitely hurting with these hits but it's definitely a war of attrition at this point.

Hopefully the rot sets in and the front collapses quickly.

[–] Lemmyoutofhere@lemmy.ca 12 points 1 week ago

Rest in piss assholes.

[–] MutantTailThing@lemmy.world 10 points 1 week ago

Get dunked nerds.

[–] lazynooblet@lazysoci.al 8 points 1 week ago (1 children)

I saw a post on here a few days ago saying the whole attack on Moscow was a PR stunt by Ukraine. That they were dropping kerosene to generate black smoke. I guess that was all bs

[–] yermaw@sh.itjust.works 10 points 1 week ago (1 children)

Yeah that was a wild claim. They managed to get past the air defences and bring a drone that could do some serious damage with an explosive, but for publicity they brought kerosene to make it look like they did damage to pretend to look like they could do damage to the bit they could have damaged but didnt cause they playing.

It broke me a little reading that.

[–] elucubra@sopuli.xyz 4 points 1 week ago

Well, it's not like a bomb hitting fuel tanks is going to make that much fire and smoke

[–] Photonic@lemmy.world 7 points 1 week ago

Ukraine now the top contributor to meeting our climate goals

[–] zbych@szmer.info 5 points 1 week ago

What a pity... ... ... ... Not really ... ... ... Not at all

[–] SaharaMaleikuhm@feddit.org 4 points 1 week ago

Thoughts and prayers

[–] Monument@piefed.world 2 points 1 week ago (1 children)

Didn’t they hit that with their own missile while failing to shoot down a drone near the refinery?

I’m sure it also took drone hits, but the big explosion was from a wayward Russian manpad.

[–] tomiant@piefed.social 3 points 1 week ago

They're def gonna need all their manpads seeing how much they are bleeding out of their dicks.