this post was submitted on 25 Jul 2026
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[–] Bieren@lemmy.today 2 points 3 hours ago

Only thing they are forced to do is benefit the shareholders.

[–] anon_8675309@lemmy.world 2 points 4 hours ago* (last edited 4 hours ago) (1 children)

Never use words like “never” and “always” because things are not always that absolute.

Unless you’re talking about death cause that MFr ain’t never waking up.

[–] luciferofastora@feddit.org 1 points 2 hours ago

Absolute statements are never fully accurate, including this one.

[–] Albercik@szmer.info 26 points 1 day ago

Never done

Except they did it for decades in some cases

[–] whyrat@lemmy.world 85 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago) (3 children)

Something it's never done? Tech is notorious for spending more than it earns. See: the Dot Com bubble.

[–] msage@programming.dev 7 points 1 day ago

Every 'disruptive' technology in the past decade as well.

[–] CosmoNova@lemmy.world 12 points 1 day ago

It‘s how virtually every startup in Silicon Valley still operates. Bait and Switch is the business model of the 21st century.

[–] GreenKnight23@lemmy.world 11 points 1 day ago

that was 30 years ago. for the last 20 years tech has had blank cheques thrown at them.

[–] reddig33@lemmy.world 107 points 1 day ago (2 children)

They aren’t “forced” to do anything. They are choosing to throw money down a black hole.

[–] msage@programming.dev 4 points 1 day ago (1 children)

Not really true.

If they stop, it's over for them.

They have to keep digging hoping for something big to happen: IPO and rake in cash from retirements; big government programs with guaranteed vendor lock-in; or stumbling upon an AGI and winning the '''''''race'''''''.

If the market wakes up from the hypertrend before that, they are absolutely fucked.

We get fucked in every scenario, btw.

[–] Dead_or_Alive@lemmy.world 4 points 5 hours ago (1 children)

I’ve never understood how people can reconcile AGI and slavery. At that point it seems you have hit all of the hallmarks of sentience and now you are enslaving a thinking being to do your work.

[–] chunes@lemmy.world 2 points 4 hours ago (1 children)

There'd be way too much money in convincing people that it's not really AGI, and look at lemmy: everyone's already convinced that it's impossible anyway. It's gonna be quite the uphill battle for any AGI we manage to create

[–] bold_atlas@lemmy.world 1 points 3 hours ago* (last edited 3 hours ago) (1 children)

If it can't convince people that it's AGI then what good is it?

[–] eleitl@lemmy.zip 1 points 2 hours ago

Real superintelligences will do the fuck they want, and nobody can stop them. But I doubt we'll get there this time, and there won't be a next.

[–] partofthevoice@lemmy.zip 11 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago) (3 children)

Well, I’ve learned to think of these things as wealth transfers — is that fair in this context.? Question is, where’s all the money going that big tech is loosing? To power companies, or is more complex than that?

[–] obviouspornalt@fedinsfw.app 15 points 1 day ago (1 children)

it's going to Nvidia, Samsung, Micron, western Digital. companies that make hardware components. those are the pickaxes in this story.

[–] veroxii@aussie.zone 4 points 1 day ago (1 children)

Also maybe construction companies etc who build the data centres... They don't care if the centre is ultimately profitable... They're getting paid now.

[–] Ludicrous0251@piefed.zip 8 points 1 day ago

Construction companies run pretty tight margins because it's an industry with a lot of competition. I'm sure they're not hurting, but the niche component suppliers are robbing the economy blind.

[–] fodor@lemmy.zip 12 points 1 day ago

Remember, the execs are bonusing themselves. They are all getting filthy rich right now.

(And like all scams, they don't care about efficiency.)

[–] gratux@lemmy.blahaj.zone 3 points 1 day ago (1 children)

It's going in a circle, eventually ending up at nvidia and co.

[–] reksas@sopuli.xyz 3 points 1 day ago

also effectively wasting planets resources

[–] JackbyDev@programming.dev 22 points 1 day ago (2 children)

I thought Big Tech loved burning money.

[–] bold_atlas@lemmy.world 1 points 3 hours ago

When there's no more money to burn they'll start burning people.

[–] DannyMac@sh.itjust.works 6 points 1 day ago

Man, I miss MoviePass... For $9.99/mo, it converted venture capital into something people could directly enjoy by watching as many movies as possible!

[–] Sinax@lemmy.world 8 points 1 day ago

Turns out it's hard to make money if you don't sell infinite free copies of a product that you only have to produce once.

[–] fodor@lemmy.zip 11 points 1 day ago

Lol big tech loves speculating. It's a bubble, and if not now, when? ... Delivering real products is such a pain in the ass.

It’s fucking bandwagoning. That’s it. That’s all this is. I hope the market destroys them for it.

[–] eicker@lemmy.world 12 points 1 day ago (1 children)

Wall Street spent years demanding AI investment, then panicked when AI investment showed up on the balance sheet: If Alphabet keeps printing record profits while building the infrastructure for the next decade, this may end up looking more like impatience than prudence. The market loves growth, until it has to pay for it.

[–] zurohki@aussie.zone 8 points 1 day ago (1 children)

That's because the amount of AI investment looks like orders of magnitude more than anyone is willing to pay for AI products.

They were happy about spending billions, but now the bubble is into the trillions and there isn't tens of trillions in market demand to make an investment that big pay off.

[–] eicker@lemmy.world 2 points 1 day ago (2 children)

That assumes demand is fixed. Historically, the biggest technology shifts created entirely new markets that barely existed beforehand. Almost nobody predicted today’s cloud or app economy from early internet revenue. AI spending could still prove excessive, but current demand is a poor ceiling for what future demand might become.

[–] zurohki@aussie.zone 8 points 1 day ago (1 children)

Current buyers are looking to cut back on spending, rather than dramatically increase. And that's based on current prices which are being subsidised by burning investor money, not the prices they need to charge to make a profit.

Cloud and apps didn't need trillions in investment to still not get off the ground. There isn't really any scenario in which current AI spending doesn't turn out to be excessive.

[–] eicker@lemmy.world 2 points 1 day ago (2 children)

Maybe, but »excessive investment« and »failed technology« aren’t the same thing: Railroads, fiber optics and the dot com era all burned absurd amounts of capital, yet the infrastructure outlived the investors. AI could follow the same pattern: terrible returns for today’s shareholders, enormous value for tomorrow’s economy.

[–] zurohki@aussie.zone 6 points 1 day ago (1 children)

Yeah, but the AI infrastructure is made out of compute hardware that's going to need replaced in 6 years. Not rails that will still be useable in 50 years.

We aren't building lasting infrastructure other than the actual buildings.

[–] eicker@lemmy.world 1 points 1 day ago (1 children)

I’d argue the models and software are the real long term assets. GPUs depreciate like any other hardware, but a better training pipeline, inference stack, proprietary data, and a model with millions of paying users can survive multiple hardware generations. The chips are replaceable. The ecosystem and customer relationships are much harder to replicate.

[–] melfie@lemmy.zip 2 points 1 day ago

Yeah, there’s a lot of innovation going on to run powerful models on modest hardware and the state of the art for running local models is changing all the time. If the trend continues, models hosted in a data center will only be for niche use cases.

That would certainly be the good ending, I won’t hold my breath for it

[–] krashmo@lemmy.world 4 points 1 day ago

"If you build it, they will come" refers to a homemade baseball field in a work of fiction. It's not a valid argument for spending trillions of dollars to support demand that doesn't exist just on the off chance that some day it might.

[–] PotatoPie@lemmy.zip 2 points 1 day ago
[–] IWW4@lemmy.zip 5 points 1 day ago (1 children)

It will be interesting how this plays out. The only bright spot of the bullshit Trump economy is Wall Street's success and AI investing is what is driving that.

[–] Peppycito@sh.itjust.works 6 points 1 day ago (1 children)

Don't forget Trump has made oil way more expensive. That's a huge favor to the world and the things that live on it!

[–] excursion22@piefed.ca 6 points 1 day ago (1 children)

He's also decimated environmental regulation...so, definitely not a huge favour.

[–] veroxii@aussie.zone 2 points 1 day ago (2 children)

Only in the USA. Which is only part of North America. The world is a big place.

[–] excursion22@piefed.ca 1 points 10 hours ago

Unfortunately, Trump's walls don't contain pollution, and industries use that local lack of regulation to lobby other governments, as in, "look, we can do that in the US, why can't we do it here?"

We all live on earth and climate change is global

[–] goatinspace@feddit.org 4 points 1 day ago
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