michaelmrose

joined 2 years ago
[–] michaelmrose@lemmy.world 3 points 3 days ago (1 children)

Or you get sent to the concentration camp in el Salvador

[–] michaelmrose@lemmy.world 1 points 4 days ago

Claiming that biking is MUCH more dangerous than driving is just reality. It's a function of dividing deaths by miles traveled. Individuals live in the real world as it is now and must make decisions based on actual reality not what you imagine might be fare in a more reasonable world than we live in whilst making positive change for the future.

You aren't a victim and nobody is blaming you by understanding actual reality.

[–] michaelmrose@lemmy.world 1 points 4 days ago

Great but we have to deal with the world as it is whilst improving it when we can. This means that we should build denser more walkable spaces going forward whilst realizing that we need trains and busses and electric cars not instead of better options but instead of gas cars.

[–] michaelmrose@lemmy.world 0 points 1 week ago (1 children)

It is exactly as dangerous as people think as you can clearly look at the miles biked and driven and see that the deaths per mile are massively higher. What you are posting is that its possible for it to be less dangerous than before mediation not that it is sanely possible to make mixed use as safe as cars.

[–] michaelmrose@lemmy.world 1 points 1 week ago

You actually always have to take care of near and long term in any real world situation.

[–] michaelmrose@lemmy.world 11 points 1 week ago

The math doesn't work because given enough rolls you literally always go bankrupt no matter what bankroll you start with. Take the simplest option a fair coin where you win on tails and lose on heads. Real actual random flips will contains runs of heads. Let N be the number of rolls required to bankrupt you for any value of N. The more you roll the more the probability of such a run increases towards 1.

You could end up bankrupting a billion dollar bank starting with 10 dollar bets. It's only sound if you have a literally infinite bank. For any finite bank you just have to play longer to lose but you always end up losing.

[–] michaelmrose@lemmy.world 16 points 1 week ago (2 children)

It's not sound actually because it trivially ends up in nonsensical amounts of money and any sufficiently long series of rolls will have an increasing chance of having a sufficiently long series of losses such that no reasonable person can possibly recover from it. For instance who that can afford to bet 1024x 100 or $100,000 on a single game of chance is excited by betting $100?

It's nonsense.

[–] michaelmrose@lemmy.world 1 points 1 week ago (1 children)

I used to live in a county that solved that problem by having in effect a connecting bus for rural riders it operated a bit like a free taxi you had to schedule. Unlike an uber there was a longer wait as it had to serve many folks so you had to plan on leaving early and waiting but it did work out pretty well and it was anything but a rich county.

[–] michaelmrose@lemmy.world -2 points 1 week ago (1 children)

Note sure why this would be downvoted

[–] michaelmrose@lemmy.world -2 points 1 week ago (6 children)

Seems it works out great for you but I don't think it is a great solution for Americans who on average live far further from their work in inhospitable climates and are less healthy.

[–] michaelmrose@lemmy.world -1 points 1 week ago

I think if you think that saying that US needs more remote work, affordable housing near where we work, and investment in transit makes one a Republican you must not be very familiar with Republicans. I think you should probably rethink your entire perspective on life.

[–] michaelmrose@lemmy.world 1 points 1 week ago (1 children)

Source? Notably bike enthusiasts are self selected from those willing and able to do what they do. It is notably not useful to say that a 20 year old commuting 10 miles a day is more healthy than grandma in her walker.

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