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I think because it’s not just prices—back in covid there were supply chain disruptions as places shut down. Some of that may be replicated here as countries reroute, or shipping gets disrupted. Basically just that as this stuff bites, there may be some mid-term supply chain disruptions and we could see shortages of certain products.
For instance we did a Costco order this weekend, and the typical Kirkland paper products we normally get were not available. We were able to just get a different brand in this case, but that did pique my interest. I remember being at Costco back in 2019 and there was a line snaking through the store and they had staff guarding the toilet paper and rationing it to customers, 2 max to avoid people trying to essentially profiteer in the shortage.
Anyway, on the one hand I’d say that you can source TP from a lot of places, but on the other hand, if logistics is going haywire as container orders are all halted to “wait and see” you can imagine that some staples are gonna get held up there. So basically I would imagine shortages to be temporary, but possible.
As I like to joke to Mai Wayfe, Costco is the closest middle class Americans get to communism. You’ll get medium heat salsa, and you’ll like it because you’re getting a gallon of it.