Trading one of these for a Shahed is a very good deal indeed. I wonder how long drones like the Shahed will remain a viable strategy. Smaller and cheaper seems to be winning wars right now.
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Just like the airplane in WWI, drone warfare is evolving rapidly. We are going to see all sorts of new drones and drone defenses invented over the coming years.
I suspect we’ll see fully autonomous hunter drones soon.
i just watched a fully autonomous (neural network ML) race drone beat a human pilot flying the same drone hardware and using only fpv camera as the sensor, so hunter drones i feel would be a logical progression.
It has long been thought that cheap drones are too easy to counter long term and so they wouldn't last long as major battlefield forces (they will still have much use in minor battlefields). Doesn't help Ukraine though which is in the now not 10 years from now. Only time will tell how drones play out over time.
It has long been thought that cheap drones are too easy to counter long term and so they wouldn’t last long as major battlefield forces
I haven't heard this said, and from the Russian invasion and massive subsequent losses to drones, I am curious what the "easy to counter" long term solution is here. If anything I see them getting even harder to counter.
2030: anti drone warfare has had a breakthrough, giant wind machines now line the front lines which create 120mph winds around the front lines defending them from small drones. Mini portable nuclear reactors are used to power these defenses.
That could be defeated even today. First, you could just fly OVER the wind machine, but you wouldn't even have to do that. Last year we had drones that could fly at nearly 300MPH. So this 2024 drone flying directly into the wind machine would head inward at 180MPH, plenty fast to disable wind machines.
Yeah, citation needed indeed.
Time to make the sunflowers, y'all. Slava Ukraini!