this post was submitted on 07 Apr 2025
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Image is allegedly of the note Trump wrote while editing a speech while on the way back from the G20 summit.


The top Russian-Chinese agent, Donald Trump, has decided that the pace of dedollarization and the decline of American financial hegemony is going too slowly. He has therefore decided to put tariffs on everybody; from America's largest trading partners to uninhabited islands. In the process, he is trying to create an autarkic America. Jokes aside, interpretation and analysis of this has ranged across a wide spectrum. I think we can broadly agree that the most idiotic are the "true believers"; those that actually believe Trump's every word, and that this will somehow bring back American manufacturing and whatever other inane promises he has made.

However, there is a much more interesting debate. The first camp are those who believe Trump is acting as an inadvertent accelerationist due to his lack of understanding about how the world economy and dollar hegemony functions (and that this will subsequently ensure that countries flock to China instead). The second camp are those who believe that Trump does know what he's doing, at least to a certain extent, and that the effective result of this period of madness will be countries kowtowing to the United States; renegotiating trade deals to be even more in favor of the US in order to get tariffs reduced. There's even a yet more cynical camp who believes that in fact, this entire trade war is just theater for further national wealth redistributions from poor to rich; that all these monumental international trade wars are more of a sideshow. To quote the linked article: "[...] out of the mountain of tariffs that threaten to turn into a global trade war will emerge the mouse of further tax cuts."

I'm not embarrassed to admit that I have absolutely no idea which one of these is the closest model to reality. We're in new economic and political ground, and even if the tariffs are quickly renegotiated and/or dropped, the impacts will continue to reverberate around the world for years. I'm sure we'll debate this for months to come here, though!


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Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[–] FuckyWucky@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago (1 children)
[–] newmou@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago

Panican? As in like those who panic? Lmao what my man

[–] thethirdgracchi@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago (3 children)

As fun as it is to watch the S&P500 tank, this unfortunately does nothing to destroy capitalism. Like capitalism predates stock markets, and there's nothing inherent about capitalism that requires finance like this. The name of the game is changing, but it's still the same game at the end of the day. Capitalism is not in crisis like it was post-WWI, only the current iteration of neoliberal globalized supply chains is staring down the barrel of a gun. No amount of big guy bumbling about not knowing wtf a tariff is and destroying the economic basis of the post-war global order is going to radically alter the capitalist structure writ large, unfortunately.

[–] Infamousblt@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

I think this does show the giant cracks in the capitalist system however. Neoliberalism was basically invented to cover up those cracks, because if the cracks were allowed to show then communists could start gaining footholds. Capitalists will need to invent something else to further hide the decline in order to prevent widespread unrest in the imperial core. Or they'll just agree to go back to full on fascism and/or feudalism and hope that this time the power they have gained through technological advances can keep the fully subservient populace in line. They may not need to hide the flaws in the system anymore, how would a group of workers possibly hope to compete with the sort of war technology that exists today?

So I guess we'll see. Neoliberalism requires stocks, it requires capital investments. If they're willing to let neoliberalism end then it means they're either ready to deal with the consequence by using infinite and incredible violence, or they don't understand or remember why neoliberalism came about in the first place. I'm willing to bet its the former, but if it's the latter then this is a tremendous opportunity for the global left to make serious strides. Regardless I don't see their replacement plan, at the very least I don't see how whatever their replacement plan is could possibly keep the general populace in the imperial core happy. In my opinion anyway.

[–] CleverOleg@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago (1 children)

In and of itself, totally agree.

I do think though, we are approaching an unavoidable crisis as the rate of profit was already getting squeezed. Not unlike the 1910s or the 1930s or the 1970s. Every time so far, capitalism as found a way to wriggle out of the jam. The gains from neoliberalism (what solved the profitability crisis in the 70s) have been exhausted. How the contradictions resolve themselves this time is anyone’s guess.

[–] thethirdgracchi@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago

Yeah I think that's the right level of existential risk to the system we're talking about here. Clearly we have reached new paradigm time, and how that contradiction is resolved who knows. But at the end of the day it'll just be capitalism 8.0 or whatever. The system will not collapse without our doing, unfortunately. It needs a push or it'll just reconfigure to capitalism but even worse.

[–] ColombianLenin@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago (1 children)

Counterpoint: Line going down is funny

spoilerAgree tho

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[–] CleverOleg@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago (15 children)

By my reckoning, this means Trump plans to impose 20% + 10% + 34% + 50% = 114% tariffs on China. Jfc…

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[–] BodyBySisyphus@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago (2 children)

Peter Navarro says Vietnam’s 0% tariff offer is not enough: ‘It’s the non-tariff cheating that matters’

Follow-up to Vietnam's attempt to negotiate last week - now it looks like the admin thinks the value added tax is a form of cheating and is going to go after it in Europe as well.

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[–] MarmiteLover123@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (5 children)

Trump - Netanyahu interview now. I'll try provide a transcript.

Netanyahu has just said that Israel will "eliminate" all tarrifs and eliminate the trade deficit to get the American tarrifs off of Israel.

The trade deficit is the key. The only way to get the United States to remove the tarrifs as it currently stands, is to eliminate your trade deficit.

Trump has also said that they are in direct talks with Iran over a nuclear deal. No pause on tarrifs, and said that Japan would have to import American goods (with a focus on American cars) to reduce tarrifs.

Trump is now talking about how China has to open up it's economy to US companies and goods.

Trump has just said that Ansarallah/the Houthis locally produce "highly sophisticated" weapons and missiles in Yemen. And admitted that they shoot down the 17 MQ-9 Reaper drones, saying that they shoot down "flying objects".

US military budget is going to be $1 trillion dollars, the biggest in history.

The USA had a direct meeting with Iran on ~~Saturday, April 5~~ next Saturday, on a nuclear deal.

The EU was formed to "harm the US on trade", according to Trump. Says the EU must import American cars and agricultural products, and mainly energy, for fair and reciprocal trade, talking about eliminating the trade deficit there.

Trump is now talking about "clean coal". Trump is now talking about lowering the price of eggs and groceries, a "beautiful and old fashioned" word.

Trump is now saying that the Hamas abused and slapped the hostages in the 3.5 feet high pipe tunnels, no signs of love or affection, according to talks he had with the hostages.

Says that EU rules and regulations are designed to prevent the imports of US cars, calls it non monetary barriers to prevent trade. Also says that artificially lowering the value of currency makes trade unfair, with regards to selling tractors as an example.

The US wants to "reset the table" on trade. Talks about eliminating the trade deficit globally, in the context of China. Says it's the only chance the US has to perform this reset. Calls NAFTA the worst trade deal in the history of the United States, and re-industrialising the United States. Says that the US was the wealthiest it's ever been between 1870-1913.

Trump says that Gaza is an incredible piece of real estate, and talks about his ethnic cleansing plan for Gaza, and turning it into an American protectorate. Netanyahu is saying that they must give people a choice to leave Gaza, in this context.

Says that there are no tarrifs on Russia because there is no business being done with Russia, and says that the bombing campaigns are horrible in Ukraine.

Virtually every country wants to negotiate with the United States over tarrifs, according to Trump, saying that they are offering things the US would never even bother asking for, talking about eliminating the $36 trillion dollar debt.

If talks aren't successful with Iran, Iran will be in great danger, Iran cannot have a nuclear weapon. October 7th was a horrible day, one of the worst days in the history of history of the world. Of 59 hostages, only 24 were alive, according to Trump.

Trump says that they have $7 trillion dollars of commitments for companies for re-industrialising the USA. Says that companies will get their own power plants with record quick approval for this.

On Turkey in Syria: says he can solve any problem Israel has with this by negotiating with Erdogan, congratulates Turkey in taking over Syria via proxy.

[–] MarmiteLover123@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago

I tried to make this as coherent as possible, which was very difficult considering that Trump was doing most of the talking in his usual cadence, vocabulary and tone, as well as going off on tangents about Biden and Afghanistan.

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[–] Fishroot@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (2 children)
[–] FuckyWucky@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

they turned out to be right about Assad

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[–] mkultrawide@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago (2 children)

He's close to some important people but he also seems to be all talk sometimes.

I wonder if this is related to whatever gains have been made by the US against Ansarallah's air defense systems that @MarmiteLover123@hexbear.net mentioned. Is KSA allowing the USN to resupply in Jeddah? I was under the impression that the Saudis had been keeping out of this. Maybe this is someone in the Resistance finally designing that the ZCC doesn't get to let the US operate from their territory without a cost (finally).

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[–] volcel_olive_oil@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago

looking at the news be like

slim_pickens_riding_the_stock_market.jpg

sit-back-and-enjoy

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