isosphere

joined 2 years ago
[–] isosphere@beehaw.org 1 points 1 month ago

My partner hates this mug with a passion. Maybe I should get one 😅

[–] isosphere@beehaw.org 1 points 1 month ago

I played the heck out of the Renegade demo, it scratched a FPS RTS itch I didn't know I had. I wonder if it holds up?

[–] isosphere@beehaw.org 2 points 1 month ago

App/platform separation is crucial. Finding the same thing for Lemmy. The official Reddit app is hot garbage.

[–] isosphere@beehaw.org 2 points 1 month ago

Is the experience at all spoiled by the game's popularity? It's a great game in its own right IMO

[–] isosphere@beehaw.org 2 points 1 month ago

I'm playing World of Goo, a physics game from 2008 that I bought in a Humble Bundle forever ago.

I tried it again on a lark and it holds up, I got sucked in. Classic physics game. One level takes me less than 15 minutes to complete, but it varies significantly.

There are interesting conflicting pressures in the game: you want to build with as little as possible, because the building material are your little dudes you're trying to get to safety. Gravity exists, and weight distribution matters: sometimes you must harness this fact to win.

Some levels are about building methodically, carefully choosing where to use the corpse of a sacrificed little dudes, because it is an immutable choice.

Other levels are about dynamics and timing, and you can get tantalizingly close to saving your entire team in these levels.

Its old, its cheap, it should run on most things~1~. Strong recommend.

1: not android: NetFlix did one of their closed market acquisitions making "free" games here

[–] isosphere@beehaw.org 4 points 2 months ago

I like this idea! There might be an increased danger of a battery explosion: it'll be near bright sunlight, away from where people will see it, with an old battery. I wonder if there are battery diagnostics that could provide an early warning?

I'm sure most of us have a fistful of old phones somewhere, the idea of using them for something is appealing.

[–] isosphere@beehaw.org 0 points 5 months ago (1 children)

The New Order was enjoyable vengence porn against Nazis, it's a good time; maybe I need that again!

I've been playing the heck out of Harebrained Schemes' BattleTech; I haven't binge-played like this in a long time. It never feels fair; 2-1 odds is typical, but it's always possible. Pretty satisfying to overcome unfair situations. Makes me feel smart and capable! Plus, jumpy stompy robots!

[–] isosphere@beehaw.org 0 points 2 years ago* (last edited 2 years ago)

I spent a lot of time learning from traders, and learning statistics. Most folks in trading use misleading profit and loss metrics to see if something is worth trading. I used the same kind of backtests, but I layered Bayesian inferencing on top of it.

I studied machine learning with Andrew Ng's courses, studied deep learning with Ian Goodfellow's book. Most importantly I took a course run by university professor and researcher in anthropology, Richard McElreath. I did my best to faithfully apply what I learned, though I am sure I strayed from academic standards.

At that point I had been doing this for years, for countless hours. It was my only hobby, and I dive hard into hobbies.

I tried my damnedest to be predictive every which way. I kept meticulous records to avoid fooling myself. Sometimes my models fooled me, and sometimes they combined with luck for my records to fool me. Long term, it's pretty clear. No evidence of any edge, ever, for any approach taken.

At the end of all of this toil and labour, I have the skills I learned along the way: statistical skepticism, a hands-on understanding of fat tails, an appreciation for the experience of randomness and the highs and lows of gambling. I think that's worth a lot - but I also think you can learn that a lot easier some other way.

I have done very well with buy and hold, it's fantastic. There's some bullshit in how you assign your portfolio - what proportions of what exposures - but its very profitable and exceptionally low stress compared to trading. It definitely has a better Sharpe/sortino/ulcer metric.

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The Wicked Problem of Trading (matthewscheffel.com)
submitted 2 years ago* (last edited 2 years ago) by isosphere@beehaw.org to c/finance@beehaw.org
 

I wrote a farewell to the thousand plus hours I spent on trading

I traded futures in my personal account, worked for a small trading firm, and have always been into a rational, scientific look at evidence.

I gave it as good of a try as any retail trader can, and learned a lot. Mostly that it's a waste of time, because trading is a wicked problem.

This is a plea to others that might get sucked in to run away and touch grass instead.