The distributions below are our team’s probabilities on when AI’s will achieve human level coding performance.
So in AI'27 they predicted 2030 will have "1T Wildly Superintelligent copies thinking at 10000x human speed", "wildly superhuman" coding ability, and "brain uploading", with "biosphere destroying mirror life" on the horizon.
Now they are predicting "maybe it will be able to write C++ in 2030 without constantly falling over (50% probability)".
Seems like a bit of a step back, but I guess we'll see what they put in their fun interactive website once it's ready.
Well that's one way to do seed funding.