thethirdgracchi

joined 4 years ago
MODERATOR OF
[–] thethirdgracchi@hexbear.net 32 points 5 days ago

Polymarket has US-Iran direct confrontation before July hovering between 30-40%. https://polymarket.com/event/us-military-action-against-iran-before-july

[–] thethirdgracchi@hexbear.net 26 points 6 days ago

Yo were right it seems with the reports of oil infrastructure being targeted. Shit could get crazy if they close Hormuz.

[–] thethirdgracchi@hexbear.net 47 points 6 days ago (4 children)

I mean if the current reports of Israel striking Iranian oil infrastructure are correct then yeah, huge oil shock. Especially if Iran decides to in turn strike Saudi infrastructure as threatened.

[–] thethirdgracchi@hexbear.net 48 points 6 days ago (2 children)

Been camping the last day so had no signal. Seems like the situation has stabilised in Iran's favour? No major strikes since they got their air defenses back online, and seems like they've got a lot of options on thettable. Accurate read or no?

[–] thethirdgracchi@hexbear.net 27 points 1 week ago

Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei in a recorded message:

– "Our armed forces will act forcefully and make the evil entity regret this."

– "Let the people rest assured that the entity will not escape punishment and there will be no leniency in its punishment."

[–] thethirdgracchi@hexbear.net 15 points 1 week ago

Apparently combined cyber attack and small drones took out a lot.

[–] thethirdgracchi@hexbear.net 28 points 1 week ago (2 children)

A little better meaning doing anything at all in this case.

[–] thethirdgracchi@hexbear.net 28 points 1 week ago

Destroying oil wells and refineries is very easy. Ansarallah managed to damage a Saudi refinery back in 2019 with some drones. Since then drone tech has evolved tremendously fast, and Iran's capabilities far exceed those of Ansarallah circa 2019. Destroying Saudi oil facilities would be trivial from a practical standpoint. It's the ramifications of the act that are the complicated bit.

[–] thethirdgracchi@hexbear.net 21 points 1 week ago (1 children)

Going to be very interesting to see how that new system performs.

[–] thethirdgracchi@hexbear.net 65 points 1 week ago

Reports coming in that suicide drones have been launched towards Israel by Iran. Will take hours to arrive, timed with ballistic missile strikes once they do no doubt just like True Promise 1 and 2. Just a matter of how many missiles and what targets.

[–] thethirdgracchi@hexbear.net 46 points 1 week ago (1 children)

Yes, but Israel is calling the bluff. They pointedly did not touch any Iranian oil facilities in this wave of attacks. So it's up to Iran if they want to target energy infrastructure, knowing they've got a ton of pretty easy targets for Israel if they do.

[–] thethirdgracchi@hexbear.net 32 points 1 week ago (3 children)

New bunker buster tech or something? Continued repeated strikes a la Nasrallah? Disappointing to see regardless.

view more: ‹ prev next ›