thethirdgracchi

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[–] thethirdgracchi@hexbear.net 43 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago)

It's not confirmed or anything but it's certainly serious. The negotiations with Iran are reaching a terminus, one way or another. US civilian personal are being evacuated from bases across the Middle East. US military air assets are locked and loaded on Diego Garcia. Could be nothing, could mean an attack on Iran's nuclear sites (probably by Israel alone) as soon as next week. What happens after that, only God knows. True Promise 3? Maybe. Widespread war across the region between Israel and Iran inevitably drawing in the US and various militias in Iraq? Less likely but still totally in the cards. That said, don't put your life on hold for some rumours you read on a leftist internet shitposting site, this all could result in nothing at all in the near term.

[–] thethirdgracchi@hexbear.net 56 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago) (11 children)

Apparently Trump caved re: Iran and uranium enrichment. We might see a deal signed after all. Who knows though. It's back to the 3% enrichment limit that initially got Iran to sit at the table, rather than the 0% they were reporting over the weekend.

The nuclear deal proposal the U.S. gave Iran on Saturday would allow limited low-level uranium enrichment on Iranian soil for a to-be-determined period of time, Axios has learned, contradicting public statements from top officials.

After signing the agreement, Iran will have to temporarily reduce its enrichment concentration to 3%. This period will be agreed upon in negotiations.

Per https://www.axios.com/2025/06/02/iran-nuclear-deal-proposal-enrich-uranium

[–] thethirdgracchi@hexbear.net 10 points 2 weeks ago

I'm not saying the American public doesn't care about the genocide. I'm saying even if 90% of the American public wanted the genocide to end it wouldn't matter because those in power won't stop supporting Israel. The United States isn't a democracy in the sense that the government listens to the will of the public.

[–] thethirdgracchi@hexbear.net 32 points 2 weeks ago (8 children)

The American public's opinion re: the genocide is entirely irrelevant. There's a far better chance that consistent stochastic terror acts against Zionists convinces the US elite to stop providing support to Israel than the opinions of the public. There's no need for the USAmerican state to listen to the will of the public, and indeed they never have unless backed up with the promise of violence.

[–] thethirdgracchi@hexbear.net 60 points 2 weeks ago (16 children)

These incidents aren't about strategically sound actions, they're spontaneous acts of outrage against a genocide the Western world seems to have deemed no big deal. This is the price the rulers of the West have decided as acceptable to continue supporting genocide. These acts will continue, no doubt about it, and who are we to stay they should stop? May not be strategically sound, but can you honestly say it's immoral to kill a supporter of an active genocode?

[–] thethirdgracchi@hexbear.net 40 points 2 weeks ago (1 children)

Reading the Financial Times this morning I came across an op-ed by fucking Francis Fukuyama. How this motherfucker still gets writing gigs I'll never understand.

Anyway this bit about Lee Jae-myung, probably the next South Korean president, absolutely cracked me up.

[–] thethirdgracchi@hexbear.net 11 points 4 weeks ago (1 children)

I'm just commenting that saying Chinese workers have to work less than Danish workers to retire is disingenuous because the nature of that work is very different. It's obviously better, for a worker, to be doing easy non-physical work for a "longer" period than strenuous fast-paced work. Easy the working conditions of people who generate value is certainly something to aspire to! Denmark (and the West) delenda est because yes their otium is built atop the backs of a latticework of violence exerted on upon the global South.

[–] thethirdgracchi@hexbear.net 21 points 4 weeks ago (3 children)

I'd also add that the actual like day to day process of "working" in China vs a place like Denmark is also radically different. A significant amount of Danes work pretty cushy office jobs with long lunch breaks and their "work" consists of lots of emails. The average Chinese worker, whether that be in a factory or an office, is going to be doing far more actual labour in any given hour.

[–] thethirdgracchi@hexbear.net 3 points 1 month ago

Yeah I mean bonds are just savings accounts for rich people. Governments feel beholden to bond markets, and for countries like the large EU ones that don't issue their own currency they really are, but for a country like the United States it wouldn't really matter.

[–] thethirdgracchi@hexbear.net 8 points 1 month ago (3 children)

The risk of US government defaulting on its bonds is exactly zero.

That's the only thing I want to push back here on, because the risk is definitely non-zero. There's no like technical, structural reason why the US would ever need to default on its bonds, because obviously it controls its own currency and can just print the money it needs to pay the bonds denominated in its own currency, but if the people in power believe that they need to default on those bonds then they absolutely could. And Trump is one such guy. Take a look at this interview:

TRUMP: No, I think this -- I think there are times for us to refinance. We refinance debt with longer term, because you know we owe so much money. It’s so -- nobody talks about it. Nobody talks about it until the bubble pops, and the bubble could pop, and it could pop, and it could be ugly. You’ve seen it a couple of times, but you haven’t seen it as bad as it could be. As bad as it was, you haven’t seen. And I could see long-term renegotiations, where we borrow long-term at very low rates and, frankly, we do need money to rebuild the infrastructure of our country.

It's an idea that's been bouncing around the Trump administration for a bit, a partial default on US bonds so they can refinance at lower interest rates for uh reasons unknown idk they just like fucking around maybe?

[–] thethirdgracchi@hexbear.net 10 points 1 month ago

Broadly I agree with this, but Hedges (as per usual) is a bit too soft. We're not entering a dark age, the entire twentieth century has been one, and those before it. The Second Congo War killed millions and nobody gave a shit. There's nothing new or unique about the horrors of Gaza unfortunately, it just lays bare the world for more folks who are paying attention.

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