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[–] 12 points 1 day ago (5 children)

You think scammers in Africa/India are capable of running a local open weight model equivalent to the performance of a cloud frontier model?

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  • [–] 16 points 1 day ago (2 children)

    The ones in Russia definitely are. They don't have to be local models - you run them in the cloud like anyone else.

    The idea that the frontier labs have LLMs with special capabilities that make them dramatically better than the top open-weight models is largely marketing.

    The reality is that most systems are poorly secured, and LLMs make exploiting vulnerabilities fast, cheap, and easy. What would have taken a trained security researcher weeks before can be done by a much less skilled attacker with an LLM in a few hours.

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  • [–] 18 points 1 day ago (1 child)

    This is correct. We can thrash all we want about slop and hallucinations, but from a defensive posture position, the models only need to be right some of the time and they still constitute a threat.

    Knowing it sucks and pretending it doesn’t exist are two different things.

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  • [–] 5 points 1 day ago

    the models only need to be right some of the time and they still constitute a threat.

    Right!?!

    And with how cheap and fast they are to run, they don't have to be right that often as long as a separate run can verify/validate claims. In a lot of ways what the LLMs do should probably be thought of as just a very sophisticated sort of brute force approach. You're effectively just searching the space of combinations of known vulnerabilities. It doesn't require particular cleverness, just an encyclopedic knowledge, a reasonable way to prune the search space, and the ability to put in the compute time.

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  • [–] 3 points 22 hours ago

    You don't need something that power to do damage. And fuck the frontier model of 6 months ago and now are basically two entirely different things. In another six months?

    Claude fable had a bunch of concerns on release and you don't think what evers out in the next year isnt going to beat it?

    Getting a bunch of beat up Mac minis together and running something isn't that hard for a mid tier operation. They don't have to be fast. They just have to turn on.

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  • [–] 0 points 14 hours ago

    You think scammers in Africa/India are capable of running a local open weight model equivalent to the performance of a cloud frontier model?

    By local I presume you mean on a gaming computer. No one can do that.

    You think scammers in Africa/India are capable of running a local open weight model equivalent to the performance of a cloud frontier model?

    Yes this is absolutely possible.

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