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Senior Engineers Are the Next DRAM Shortage (blog.herlein.com)
submitted 4 days ago* (last edited 4 days ago) by to c/experienced_devs@programming.dev
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ETA: summary…

Author describes how agentic coding tools have disincentivized the developer training and mentorship pipeline that the software industry has implicitly relied on to produce seasoned developers, predicting that once the shortage is fully realized it could take years to reverse.

The solution proposed is for managers and senior developers to get ahead of this shortage by foregoing the immediate yet shortlived productivity maximization offered by the agent-multiplied-senior structure in favor of longterm sustainability by deliberately facilitating experience fan-out to juniors.

The methodology proposed is based on a successful nuclear engineering apprenticeship program carried out on active service naval submarines.

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[–] 7 points 2 days ago

I had a kind of friend, late friend, he was a senior. Very old school. Whenever there was a difficult issue to solve he would sink into this kind of meditative state of mind, where he would just stare for a long time ruminating. You couldn't speak to him really. I mean he would still hear you, but not react or answer. Eventually he snapped out after a good while and reliably always came up with a hilariously good solution. And then afterwards answer whatever else you said while he was "off". Miss him sometimes, great to work with. Incomparable to LLMs. I can see the hype calming down in a few years though, being a little optimistic.

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