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[–] kasama@lemmygrad.ml 10 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago) (2 children)

Aside from the gulf regimes, I assume the targets will be Jordan, the Saudi regime, and the zionist entity?

I really don't know what the empire thinks they'll gain from this. At this point they should be aware this new phase in the war will likely end with all US military infrastructure in Jordan and Saudi Arabia being flattened and the zionist regime having nothing left to respond to Iran's (and the wider Resistance Axis, obviously) attacks.

I find it a little interesting Iran isn't militarily targeting Turkiye, despite Türkiye being very pro-imperialist. Are there reasons for not doing so?

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[–] Malkhodr@lemmygrad.ml 10 points 1 day ago (1 child)

I find it a little interesting Iran isn't militarily targeting Turkiye, despite Türkiye being very pro-imperialist. Are there reasons for not doing so?

My guess is they see Türkiye as being more independent then the rest, and potentially have a greater military capacity comparatively to the Gulf regimes, Saudia Arabia and Israel.

Türkiye actively deindustrialized Aleppo in Syria during the civil war. Essentially dismantling entire factories and reconstructing them in Türkiye.

In other words, they, unlike the rest of the West, likely have some matter of a domestic arms industry that is somewhat self sufficient.

Not to the mention the Russia factor. If Iran strikes Türkiye, then Türkiye may retaliate by giving problems to Russia in the black sea, causing issues for the war in Ukraine. This could be used as a dividing factor between Russia and Iran, so I'd imagine the Iranians don't want to create problem for themselves in that respect.

I'd say that the end of the Ukraine war will probably be the thing that makes Iran take a more hardline stance against Türkiye, as then Türkiye would then lose a lot of leverage against Russia.

We've seen how Türkiye uses it's geography to leverage Russia before, especially against Syria when Assad stupidly decided to go along with the freeze on the conflict.

These are only my assumptions though, so perhaps if other comrades have more to add, please do so.

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[–] kasama@lemmygrad.ml 4 points 11 hours ago

I guess it makes more sense now with the context you added, although I understand these are only assumptions like you said. It kind of explains why they would be the absolute last place Iran would target, given its military power compared to the gulf regimes.

I do get your point regarding the Ukraine war. It's probably best for Iran to wait until the war in Ukraine ends. To me, Türkiye's independence and geography are probably some of the reasons for its rhetoric during the war in Ukraine, the zionist genocide, and the regional war in West Asia in general. It allows them to pose as a mediator while being a self serving participant in the empire's colonization of West Asia.