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[–] 98 points 2 days ago* (20 children)

8+ billion people on the planet and people complain about not enough people.

Ponzi schemes aren't sustainable.

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  • [–] 44 points 2 days ago (9 children)

    Yeah, people worried about “population decline” are actually concerned about their preferred race/religion losing political & cultural power.

    It’s a dog whistle every time

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  • [–] 10 points 2 days ago (5 children)

    It's a dog whistle every time.

    Population decline isn't inherently a problem (unless you're a racist worried about "your people" losing power). Too rapid population decline is a big problem. We're already seeing the effects: When the sum of birth rates and working-age immigration fall fast enough, the ratio of working-age people to care-needing people also falls. I don't think I need to explain why it's a problem that every able-bodied working age adult will be responsible (directly or indirectly) for taking care of more people. It puts more pressure on everyone, and impacts societies ability to care for those in need of it.

    A controlled, slow, population decline would probably just be a good thing at this point. However, that's not what prognoses are pointing towards, and that's why (non-racist) people are worried.

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  • [–] 2 points 1 day ago* (1 child)

    I’ll acknowledge that saying it’s a dog whistle every time was slightly hyperbolic. 

    However, I’d argue that the claim that the global human population is declining too rapidly is actually pretty hotly contested. The world's population is still growing — around 8.2 billion now, heading toward a peak near 10.3 billion in the 2080s.

    That being said, in some countries there will be a surplus of retirees and not enough workers to fund them through the existing tax structure, which is a legitimate problem. But it's a problem best remedied through better social safety nets, not by popping out more babies.

    The biggest contention I have with the concern over population decline is that population decline doesn’t matter at all if we don’t adequately address climate change within the next decade. If someone’s house is actively on fire and they express concern to me that their roof should be re-shingled, I’m not going to give a shit about their roof shingles until I’m certain their roof will survive the fire.

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  • [–] 1 point 6 hours ago

    Thanks, that was a much more nuanced take that I have a much easier time agreeing with :)

    I think the population problem has some in common with food distribution: There's enough food in the world, it's just distributed in such a way that some places have obesity as a societal-level issue, while other places people are dying of malnourishment.

    Similarly, the global population is increasing, however it's increasing far more rapidly that sustainable in some places, while declining more rapidly than sustainable in others.

    There's only so much you can do by redistributing wealth in a better way (which I think we should, regardless). It doesn't help to tax the rich if there isn't any manpower you can buy with that tax income to actually do the work that needs doing. I think that's the scary part about a rapid population decline: We're heading towards a situation (in some places) where the ratio of capable workers to people needing care approaches 2:1, which means a far larger fraction of the population will need to spend their entire working career as direct care providers than is currently the case. You can't really alleviate a manpower shortage with just money.

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  • [–] 1 point 1 day ago (1 child)

    Easy solution, eliminate the boomers. Crisis averted.

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  • This is mostly a joke, but I do foresee a time when a very authoritarian government just kills a bunch of old people.

    For example, during the One Child Policy the Chinese government did hundreds of thousands of forced abortions.

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  • [–] 10 points 2 days ago (8 children)

    Worry about population decline isn't about wanting more people. It's about wanting there to be enough working-age people to cover the retirement and medical payments of the ones no longer working. We know exactly how many 30-year-olds we'll have in 20 years and it's simply not enough. Something has to give and usually the first to go is the benefits for the people who most need them.

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  • [–] 21 points 2 days ago (3 children)

    Or maybe the something that has to give is a minority class of people (the .1%) getting a few percent higher tax "burden"

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  • [–] 2 points 2 days ago (2 children)

    I highly doubt that would be anywhere near enough even if the issue was only limited to the country with the highest number of ultra wealthy people which it isn't.

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  • [–] 6 points 2 days ago

    Elon Musk could end world hunger. Full stop. He wouldn’t even notice the dip in his finances. (He offered once, claiming if someone gave him a concrete number, he would pay it, and a nonprofit took him up on it. Surprise, surprise, the whiny little snit backed out.)

    They totally could fix the problem. But to those rich shitheads, it’s not a problem. It’s a feature.

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  • [–] 5 points 2 days ago

    Sort of depend on perspective, hunger only exists because there's no political will to remove it.

    We produce more food globally than we consume, and we can multiply it several times with the same cost of space by swapping more meat for vegan crops.

    We have plenty of space for everyone to have shelter, the problem is largely due to the issue that most people want to live in a metropolitan area. So the price for living in a highly sought out location increases to unmanageable levels.

    A key factor is the big difference between the kinds of jobs you can get in a more rural location compared to the bigger urban centers. Everyone are forced to move to urban locations to study, causing most people to form their first adult social and professional circles around whichever urban location they studied at.

    There's a lot of minor things that needs to be done, what exactly differs by country. But making the rural regions more accessible to live in should be considered across most countries. One simple first step, would be to make remote capable jobs offer their workers to do it all remotely. Government office workers, could quite easily spearhead such an initiative; I bet some people would move closer to nature, if they could hold onto their bread

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  • [–] 4 points 2 days ago* (1 child)

    That falls back to "ponzi schemes aren't sustainable"

    It's broken.

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  • [–] 1 point 1 day ago*

    The problem with calling it a ponzi scheme is that this would apply in all contexts, even in very basic economies without money. If you have a tribe of hunter gathers and suddenly they have a sharp decrease in their birth rate, they too would have a hard time taking care of their elderly/children.

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