It'll happen very shortly before these companies find out how well local models compete.

Mistral is a few weeks out from releasing a 1T model nicknamed Le Chonk. Running that on consumer hardware would take some shenanigans... but these dorks are getting pretty good at shenanigans.

Any sharply reduced distillations from that will have to compete with e.g. Qwen 3.8 27B. I haven't seen it mentioned in any specific projects, but it does have Xbox 360 decomp plugins.