Or perhaps the end of the beginning, if you're a little more pessimistic.
Image is from this Bloomberg article, from which I also gathered some of the information used in the preamble.
While Trump was off in the Middle East in an incompetent attempt to solve a geopolitical and humanitarian crisis, China has been doing something much more productive.
Chinese officials, including Xi Jinping, had a summit with CELAC (a community of 33 Latin American and Caribbean countries). There, he promised investment, various declarations of friendship, and visa-free entry for 30 days for citizens of Brazil, Argentina, Chile, Peru and Uruguay. Lula signed over 30 agreements with China. Colombia is joining the New Development Bank and hopes to gain the money for a 120-kilometer railway connecting the Atlantic and Pacific coasts as an alternative route to the Panama Canal. Even Argentina, ruled by arch-libertarian and arch-dipshit (but I repeat myself) Milei, was uncharacteristically polite with China as he secured a currency swap renewal to shore up their international reserves.
It wouldn't really be correct to say that Latin America is "siding with China over the US" - leaders in the region will continue to make many deals with America for the foreseeable future, and even Trump's bizarre economic strongman routine won't make them break off economic and diplomatic relations. What's significant here is that despite increasing American pressure for those leaders to break off all ties with China, few appear to be listening - and given that China is perhaps the most important economy on the planet right now, that is a very predictable outcome.
As the current American empire takes actions to try and avoid their doom, those very actions only guarantee it. As Latin America grows ever more interconnected with China and continues to develop, America will grow ever more panicked and demanding, and this feedback loop will - eventually - result in the death of the Monroe Doctrine.
Last week's thread is here. The Imperialism Reading Group is here.
Please check out the RedAtlas!
The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.
Israel-Palestine Conflict
Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:
UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.
English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.
English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.
Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict
Sources:
Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.
Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.
Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:
Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.
https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.
Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:
Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.
Moon of Alabama is having some hot take today in light of the Denmark raising retirement age: Chinese Work Less For Longer Retirements
Obviously, the austerity policy in Europe is bad and the raising of retirement age is inevitable with the impending economic difficulties under neoliberalism, but the comparison with China (of all countries!) is quite another level of galaxy brain.
Average annual work hours by country:

(Top entry is Chinese internet companies that implement 996 work hours)
If you are between 20-40 years old, would you rather:
or
Which one will you choose?
2 is subsidized by imperialist plunder and is not a sustainable system btw, as we are already seeing its unraveling
I'd choose the one that gives me a much better starting position to both maintain my rights and fight against incremental neoliberal reform degradation and that is #2 for sure.
#1 is not going to be looking as good an option if you assume now that 60 went up to 63 it will eventualy also keep going higher, to 65, 68 and more. There is never a single instance in which neoliberal reforms don't keep increasing their demands. If someone made this argument years ago before the increase the calculation was already different, if they were lucky they got to retire at 60 already.
From that point I'd definitely "prefer" #2 as its already a much better starting point for fighting against incremental neoliberal reforms. #1 situation you're basicaly already lost both on welfare and working conditions and you're also already losing on retirement, while the #2 situation is still just one law that could theoretically be reformed back to a previous state.
The more rights and concessions you lose from the capitalists the harder it is to get them all back.
Therefore I don't see #1 and #2 as being that fundamentaly different either, only one situation is further along the neoliberal deterioration worker rights under capitalism. If you're actualy seriously trying to make these pragmatic calculations as if its two different "systems" than that is an incredible amount of copium. You will have to keep redoing these calculations as the situation deteriorates and neoliberalism demands further austerity. The retirement age of both with tend to converge to the maximum possible.
The MoA is doing lazy shitty ass economic arguing about the virtue of work as if there is a correlation between a citizen's working hours and the quality of their country's welfare, its complete nonsense from the start. EU social democracy can afford this due to imperialism and the fact they've resisted these changes for decades while neoliberalism ran rampant accross the world and the EU itself.
Claiming you need to work X amount of hours to pay for welfare is mainstream econ garbage period, after all its the Chinese worker that was making the Danish's iPhone and most of everything else in the last 10-20 years. Complete nonsense.
As a USAmerican I have been given a third option: work an average of 48 hours per week with 0.5-1 day weekend, 5 days of paid annual leave, no free healthcare, no social safety nets, but also I have to work until 70.
Hahahaha so much FREEDOM
Definitely 1 and I question anyone who would pick otherwise. Retiring at 70 in Denmark means only being able to enjoy 1 year of healthy retirement before spending the rest of your life being stricken with some debilitating illness. It also demonstrates how even a cushier socdem state like Denmark sees its workers as completely disposable and "rewards" them with retirement only when they reach their healthy life expectancy where they can no longer be milked for their labor. China at least cares about their workers enjoying some form of healthy retirement.
And as a final point, I don't know a whole lot of people who died before hitting 55 or 60, but I know plenty of people who didn't make it past 70. Just from extended family alone, I could think of at least 5 relatives who didn't make it.
Love the sentence lol. If only retirees are also treated with free healthcare, so you know, they can actually retire without having to worry about burning through their retirement funds.
The trick really is to not get sick after retirement, then you should be able to live quite well (depends on how much pension you have paid during your working years).
I don't think you truly appreciate how terrible it is to still work when you're 60+, let alone working until you're 70.
As I said, working exhausting long hours and without free healthcare and social safety nets are not only going to make your youth miserable, they add substantial mental and physical toll of your life.
I think most of you young people don’t realize that while it’s fun to wreck your body when you’re young, it will be until you reach your late 30s and 40s that all the physical strains (not to mention the mental and emotional toll) begin to manifest in many different ways that could cripple an otherwise normal life.
Retiring at 55-60 but body is already wrecked, and have to use up all your savings to pay for all sorts of health issues? No thanks.
And I think you don't realize how terrible it is to work when you're 60+. And I'm not talking about some pampered white-collar job like a general manager. I mean an actual worker like a chef or a construction worker. Can you imagine a 65 year old roofer or a 65 year old plumber?
Your body being wrecked gets factored into your healthy life expectancy. And unless you dispute the numbers of the WHO, Chinese workers enjoy a healthy retirement longer than Danish workers.
No matter how pampered your body is, your body will show noticeable physical and mental deterioration when you reach 60 regardless of how easy of a life you had. This is just biological fact. Danish life expectancy isn't 100, so a lot of Danish people won't even make it to 70, whether dying from fatal accidents or disease. They won't get to enjoy their retirement.
Denmark is deteriorating, their conditions are plummeting, they are cutting social services at a faster and faster pace to militarize. They are becoming increasingly fascistic. I would rather live in China, especially considering it’s trending in the correct direction and has a future.
Sometimes you need a splash of cold water to realize when you sound like a cracker. MoA is correct here. He’s using China as an example because even though they have a long way to go and famously have problems with overwork, they are STILL better than the new status quo in Denmark. It would be even more of a stark contrast to compare Denmark and say Cuba
"A developed but declining imperial core socdem country with the population of a mid size Chinese city and sickening accumulated wealth per capita is in some ways still a preferable place to work and even exist than a developing (and constantly improving QoL wise) socialist asian nation of 1.4 billion people 70 years removed from feudalism" is really eye oppening analysis. It was also easier in some if not most ways to be a worker in some random european social democracy than in the USSR for most of the latters existance. Guess everything is lost
No offense, I’ve lived in both the West and in China, I’m pretty sure I’ve got a better perspective than most people here, even though you are welcome to call me biased.
I don’t think you realize that being in close proximity to the USSR dictated how much better the working conditions are in the soc dem European states, even 35 years after its collapse and most of those countries are declining and have fully mutated into neoliberal imperialist states as you’ve said. The whole point that is in spite of all this, welfare is still so much better than China that claims to be socialist.
Also, very much doubt that most people here who have lived in the West and say they prefer to live in China will easily survive the 内卷 (involution) in China. When you hear “expats” talk about China, know that they usually work for some multinational corporations that automatically place them among the top 0.1% income earners in China and are essentially living like kings there. Their kids go to international schools and do not have to compete with the rest of the kids for gaokao.
I get that many people here are cynical or just want to be contrarian, but seriously think about trading away free healthcare and social safety nets and one month of vacation every year, just to work like a dog with little to no recreation time in your 20s and 30s, having to report to your supervisor on every Sunday instead of having the luxury of switching off for the weekend.
Maybe you enjoy the hustling and grinding, in which case, good for you, but I assure you that most people don’t. Call me lazy or whatever, I don’t care lol!
The point is these things will cease to exist for Denmark and the west within the decade, meanwhile China is continually improving. All future trends indicate that China will continue to be a better place to live.
Would have agreed with you if it weren’t for the fact that the retirement age is also being raised in China starting January 1st, 2025.
You probably have seen my writings before, still too neoliberal brained, will do anything other than raising wages and giving welfare to people, etc. I won’t repeat all of that lol. So we’ll see how much longer China is going to keep up with these policies.
China’s life expectancy has sky rocketed, so too does the cost of pensions for the remainder of their lives. Some moving back of the retirement period is only natural to account for the massively increased lifespan of recent years. Whereas in Denmark the life expectancy has not been increasing, in fact it decreased for the last 2 years and before the at has been flat for decades. So they are burning at both ends, whereas China is shifting one way.
You say you have lived in both China and the West, but what does that have to do with this conversation? You have never been a retiree in Denmark under the new rules, in fact nobody has because it hasn’t yet occurred, it’s a removal of future benefits. What do you know of the plight of a 68 year old in Denmark in 2059? You think they will have healthcare? Lmao. Look at the numbers here presented by Moon of Alabama, they are pointing at a real thing. Work:retirement ratio is important.
Sorry this is just cope.
China is increasing its retirement age and not giving healthcare and welfare to the people because their economy has been heavily geared towards exporting cheap goods and services to Western imperialist countries (with no signs of reducing such dependencies) instead of allocating labor and resources toward the social services required to take care of 1.4 billion people.
Funny to see people supporting neoliberalism here just because it’s China lol.
Technically, it's ordoliberalism geared towards socialist industrial developmentalism, there's no such thing as neoliberalism in China
this is cope the retirement age policy is clearly driven by ideological thatcherism within the CPC and it sucks actually. they could find the money to continue supporting the old retirement age.
It’s not even “not finding the money”, the economics is far simpler than that, and as you said, neoliberal in nature. It is indeed an IMF mantra to the developing countries (they even have a name for it: “middle income trap”) that it’s funny to see people supporting it just because it’s China lol.
So much of China’s economy has been geared towards exports of cheap goods and services to “wealthy” foreign countries that allocation of labor and resources toward social services and domestic economy has been reciprocally constrained.
It’s one of the reasons why I keep talking about transition towards a domestic consumption model, because the misallocation of capital and resources (and the corresponding wealth inequality) do end up having an impact on your average working people in China. Who would’ve thought!
yes, dependency ratios. but the cost of high dependency ratios should measured in real resource terms rather than sound finance terms (i.e. balancing the budget). does China have enough resources to have old people retire 'early' while maintaining living standards for everyone? and i believe that any country can choose to treat old people well with an early retirement while (in the worst case) taking away resources for the rest. the only scenario i can imagine it wouldn't be possible is if no one's basic needs (food, shelter) are being met, economy has no unemployment and it isn't possible to transfer workers to construction/ag sector; in such a case having old people work may be the right decision. but that is not the case for China.
in fact the solution to increase fertility rates is decreasing working hours, providing more social safety nets.
China's is now also suffering from this same population crisis, life expectancy is not increasing therefore the working age population is decreasing.
This is fundamentaly part of the reason why China is increasing the retirement age. Its a mainstream neoliberal reaction to the same crisis faced on industrialized countries. You're trying to separate Denmark as if their situation is that much different but it is not. There is no "increased lifespan of recent years". This is at least 15 years out of date. Chinese life expectancy peaked in 2010. The working age population(15-64) has been stagnant for 15 years.
Please understand this is mainstream news in China even. SCMP: China population: with 20 million fewer people projected by 2035, will the retirement age have to be raised? This was before the CPC announced the current reform.
You're also just saying that pension cost is some fundamental universe law that must be accounted for, this is neoliberal budgeting theory you should know about it. Even though @xiaohongshu@hexbear.net 's infactuation with MMT or whatever is silly and MMT is almost entirely anti-marxist, its still strikes along at least one correct principle here.
Neoliberal budgeting of social welfare is not an excuse to curb worker rights, period. Any society can afford retirement @60 and universal healthcare etc. The issue is the strength of the collective working class, not some economic nonsensical argument about "paying" for pensions. Come on now China can afford retirement @60, all it takes is Xi to get off his ass and point the PLA's at the Tencent offices and their Jack Maos.
Government budgeting is not and will never be an issue. It becomes an issue if we resign to the fact the working class got no strength to impose these concessions.
No in fact it is not "natural" to progressively lose your working class rights, every industrialized country including China can afford proper social welfare. You're sadly just copying mainstream rethoric about government budget to justify adjusting worker rights. I do not know how Hexbear arrives at these strange positions honestly, no neoliberal reforms are not justifiable under any circumstance.
If these reforms are necessary for the CPC to keep the line going up maybe they need to take a look at the mirror, the US's line is also going up yet that doesn't justify anything so why do you need to copy them?
Yes I agree with you China may well be the better place to live, how much does that matter if China keeps doing neoliberal reforms though? Much of this progress will be lost and your pragmatic calculation will look vastly different even 10-15 years from now.
Still can’t get over the fact that people are supporting neoliberalism just because it’s China lol.
No theory, no material analysis, just black and white thinking. Typical Western leftists behavior that I should have gotten used to by now.
nowhere did I "support" neoliberalism. I explained how China's raising of the retirement age is not the same as Denmark's because of the specifics of the situations at hand. I never said it was good that China was raising the retirement age, only somewhat more understandable due to them not being imperialistic leeches and having to support an aging demographic bloc with extended life spans - which is not the case in Denmark which is a rich country rotting out
If I'm being uncharitable with your argument as you are with mine, you are making a pro-imperialist and pro-succ dem argument that Denmark is superior to China. I think you are a bit too inundated in the pro-West Liberalism of Academia and it's made you a bit lib. You repeatedly have ignored my statements about Denmark only being a functioning economy because of it's imperialist leeching, you have not responded to it, only doubled down on shitting on a communist nation that is not imperialist instead.
It really comes across like you are deeply anti-China. More anti-China than you are the imperialist fascist nations of Europe.
Exactly. Furthermore, the EU in general is just a giant, neo-liberal dictatorship that was carefully designed to prevent the European working classes from seizing power and building socialism in their countries. European workers can learn a lot from the Chinese revolution and the PRC. The EU, on the other hand, must be destroyed.
Also, retiring at 70 is complete ass. Per WHO data, healthy life expectancy for Denmark is 71, so your average Danish worker can only enjoy a year of retirement before being hit with debilitating illness. HALE for China is 67.2 for men and 70.0 for women. That's 7.2 years and 15 years of healthy retirement respectively.
Retiring at 70 is essentially just removing retirement.
I know someone who dropped dead right when they turned 70. They would've enjoyed a week of "retirement" if they were in Denmark.
That's a no brainer, 1, my family doesn't even make it to their 70s generally and they're so ridden with mobility issues and illness by their late 50's there's no way they could work even as a greeter some place.
Going to xth as a Murikkkan I will opt for 40-60 hour weeks, no weekends except a few times a year, no paid leave, no retire, no healthcare and no safety nets and I will have to work until the grim reaper claims me.
The Chinese option doesn’t sound that different from Guatemala. We work around the same annual hours as Costa Rica while lacking their comparatively generous social services. We also retire at 60 with a barebones social safety net and no free healthcare. Plus side is that you all enjoy better infrastructure and overall safety than we do.
I will not take the bait
Option 1
I choose 35hours per week and retiring at 60.
I'd also add that the actual like day to day process of "working" in China vs a place like Denmark is also radically different. A significant amount of Danes work pretty cushy office jobs with long lunch breaks and their "work" consists of lots of emails. The average Chinese worker, whether that be in a factory or an office, is going to be doing far more actual labour in any given hour.
That’s because Denmark is a financialized imperialist state that leeches value from the rest of the workers on the planet, whereas China actually creates value. You are acting like being a finance parasite is a good thing to aspire to
I'm just commenting that saying Chinese workers have to work less than Danish workers to retire is disingenuous because the nature of that work is very different. It's obviously better, for a worker, to be doing easy non-physical work for a "longer" period than strenuous fast-paced work. Easy the working conditions of people who generate value is certainly something to aspire to! Denmark (and the West) delenda est because yes their otium is built atop the backs of a latticework of violence exerted on upon the global South.
People doing email jobs in Denmark aren't doing "work". They are on a lifelong vacation subsidized by the global system of imperialist slavery
Comrade, I have two questions for you:
Firstly, is there any party position or justification for allowing the ‘996’ work schedule to still exist, or why they don’t mandate lower working hours/ more time off? Surely with the absolutely huge labour force China has, and the fact that many Chinese workers have higher education qualifications now AND the fact that the they have a major youth unemployment issue because companies are incredibly selective and encourage severe competition in the labour market, the easiest solution for the party is to just lower working hours and outlaw ‘996’ regimens, which will encourage companies to hire more workers to fill the gaps in labour hours lost?
Secondly, does the 48 hour work week also exist in the public sector, or is it mainly limited to the private sector? Also does working for the Chinese public sector grant you additional benefits in the form of extra leave, more overtime pay, free public services etc?
To your first question, 996 was already banned by the Supreme Court back in 2021!
All the guilty internet companies “welcomed” the court ruling and announced that overtime is only “on a voluntary basis” and will be “properly compensated”.
And yet the working hours have only gone up since 2021. In fact, just earlier this year, the government tried again to enforce an 8-hour work day because the EU threatened to ban Chinese goods with the EU Forced Labour Regulations, a whole bunch of manufacturing firms again “welcomed” the policy, and yet nothing seems to have happened afterwards.
There are a few factors behind why nothing much has changed, and they’re mostly related to motivation and enforcement issue:
For your second question, please see my response to another user on this comment thread.
Do you get 40hr work weeks if you work for the Government (Ministries, Depts) or a SOE in China?
Yes and no… Work in government/SOEs (体制内, or “in the system”) usually have standard work hours e.g. 40 hours per week as you say, but can be variable depending on your particular position and job responsibilities. Some departments demand more overtime etc. However, you do enjoy very good social welfare and benefits, if you are one of the 60M (estimated) people working in SOEs or as civil servants.
There are ~740M people in China’s labor force today. Except for the 270M people working in rural areas, the rest are considered urban employment.
In general, the luckiest people are the 10M employees working for foreign multinational corporations. These companies pay higher salaries, have lower requirement for overtime, give good benefits/pensions, annual leaves etc. Also considered a good career trajectory since it adds prestige to your resume. If you get into one of those foreign corporations, you’re considered to have “made it”. Still subject to layoffs as you would in any private corporation though, so there is still a risk of unemployment.
If you are less ambitious, and are fine with working boring jobs with limited career progression, then joining SOEs or working as civil servants would be an option, if you can “get into the system” of ~60M employees. You get good pay, and a lot more welfare and benefits. You’ll have a stable career.
However, it is typically seen to be limiting to your career progression, since you will essentially be working for the same people for the next 10-20 years, day in and day out, with less chances of promotion. You can’t just switch company easily as you would in the private sector. And if you work in one of those random out-of-nowhere towns, it can be quite depressing. “Once you’re in the system, it is hard to get out.” Private enterprises typically don’t value people coming from within the system because they want people who are willing to grind hard and used to long working hours.
The other 400M labor force (i.e. the vast majority of the people) works for private enterprises, and this is where all the hustling and grinding happen. The working conditions are widely variable. A lot of people are squeezed by exhausting work hours with low pay, but if you’re lucky enough to be in a sector that is highly lucrative (some of the tech firms, for example), you can earn quite a lot of money. Still, everyone is expected to grind for much longer hours than you’d find in Western countries.
Moon of Alabama and B have been weird for a few months now. I still remember when they said there was zero possibility that North Korean troops were in Kursk and it was all some grand NATO fabrication.