My take on it: most people do have foresight or at least understand the issue, but they still don't act on it or ignore it as long as the status quo is still convenient enough. So it's purely a matter of pain and inconvenience. Once enough pain and inconvenience has accumulated, they're much more ready to make an actual switch. Thankfully, with Microsoft's services also becoming increasingly enshittified (forced AI chatbot integrations everywhere, even more cloud dependencies, ever more expensive subscriptions, ...) there's also Microsoft shooting itself in the foot a bit in order to accelerate this process. Vile actions from the current US regime are also accelerating the process of course.

This is why, as an Aussie, I'm very disappointed in our subservience to the US all the time. It's honestly pathetic. We abandoned our initial plan for, admittedly not cutting edge tech, french-built submarines to go with far better-specced US-built subs but who knows if we'll ever actually get any of them.

Honestly, I don't trust the sepos not to hamstring them somehow.