It’s been reported that in the German elections, a far right party has made ‘significant gains’.

In the UK (at least before the scandals) Reform UK seems to have had a significant boost and has even surpassed the right-wing Conservative Party in some polls/predictions.

Even France, one or two years ago, was threatened with a far-right government due to the French far right party gaining a lot of support.

It feels like in the last few years, the far-right has exceeded itself and had a surge in popularity. Is this the case? And if so, wtf is fuelling it?

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[–] 1 point 6 days ago (5 children)

You are absolutely right about the 'expand or die' mechanics on a finite planet. However, it's not entirely accurate that Lenin didn't have a timeframe in mind. He subtitled his pamphlet 'the eve of the social revolution' because he genuinely believed the carnage of World War I was the terminal crisis. He didn't foresee capitalism's ability to mutate, adopt Keynesian reforms, and stabilise post-WWII. His mechanical diagnosis of finance capital was incredibly prescient, but he underestimated capitalism's elasticity unfortunately 🥲

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  • [–] 1 point 6 days ago (4 children)

    Lenin may have strongly thought that socialist revolution was more immediate worldwide, but he did not believe this to be certain, nor did his analysis require it to be so. Imperialism evolved to the present era of neoimperialism and unipolarity, but this doubled-down on the international stakes. With the clear era of decline we are in, it's difficult to read Lenin and believe him wrong when what he predicted has come to pass, just not as quickly as he may have hoped it would.

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  • [–] 1 point 6 days ago (3 children)

    It sounds like we are entirely on the same page. The timeline shifted and the system proved highly elastic by evolving into neocolonialism, but the fundamental mechanics of extraction remained the same. The real question now is whether the current rise of multipolarity is finally the breaking point of that system, or if capital will find yet another way to mutate.

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  • [–] 1 point 6 days ago (2 children)

    Sure, the death of imperialism is a protracted process. What's undeniable at this point is that it is dying, as it exists in a manner that cannot help but die in the long run.

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  • [–] 1 point 6 days ago (1 child)

    Well said. The maths of infinite extraction on a finite planet always had an expiration date, even if the timeline is protracted. It's going to be incredibly fascinating and probably pretty turbulent to watch how the rest of this century plays out as that reality fully sets in. Really enjoyed this discussion.

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  • [–] 1 point 6 days ago

    Thanks! And yes, I expect the present conditions of China and the rest of the global south rising to continue to spark desparation from the US as it decays, which I can only hope sees revolution before the world sees war.

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