This is a thread specifically for the war, not a general megathread (use the pinned /c/genzedong thread for that).
Please keep related news in this thread rather than making separate posts. Remember to include sources and avoid spreading rumours.
Kpler is the source with the monarchist Iranian analyst wishcasting their stats. I wouldn't be surprised if there was a concerted effort with other firms but I have no proof of that to give.