Democrats are currently leading Republicans in the RealClearPolling generic congressional average

A blue wave may not be as certain as some polls have predicted, experts warn ahead of Election Day, noting forecasts may be skewed because Trump supporters are notoriously difficult to reach, according to a report.

While current polls paint a positive picture for Democrats ahead of the midterms this November 3 — some pollsters are questioning whether that number may be inflated due to supporters of President Donald Trump being difficult to reach by pollsters, Axios reported.

Polls previously underestimated Trump’s support during the presidential races in 2016, 2020 and 2024. Even though midterm polling is typically more accurate, some still underestimated Republican support in 2022, Scott Keeter, senior survey adviser at Pew Research Center, told Axios.

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[–] 13 points 18 hours ago

No shit. The Dems, as usual, have failed to give the working class a reason to vote for them. They only ever give reasons to vote against their opponent. This strategy fundamentally fails to motivate anybody who isn’t already plugged into politics.

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  • [–] 24 points 1 day ago (6 children)

    I hope that it is a big blue wave and this corrupt lunatic will have a congress with a spine but I am getting 2016 Clinton hubris vibes.

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  • [–] 9 points 1 day ago (4 children)

    Democrats aren't winning shit. Regardless of the actual legit results, you can bet your ass that the Republicans won't concede power.

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  • [–] 3 points 1 day ago* (1 child)

    Bet your ass they will.

    Republicans depend on the "good cop" to "save the day" by taking office and "fixing" things by rolling the gains back a bit (but not reverse anything).

    ... just as Democrats depend on Republicans to blame for their "failures" (like when they pretend to try and raise minimum wage).

    You must be new to US politics. It's a tag team. Watch and see.

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  • [–] 2 points 1 day ago

    The only thing Clinton and Harris taught me was that Dems (and boomers) dislike them some highly qualified, educated women.

    I will vote dem predominantly going forward (bus analogy and all that) but damn, like folding pocket aces. The opponent makes it even more cutting.

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  • [–] 3 points 17 hours ago

    Especially after the cheating.

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  • [–] 1 point 14 hours ago

    Elon is just gonna rig it like last time anyway

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  • [–] 10 points 1 day ago

    They can win a majority but it won't do much, and then people will get mad they didn't fix everything they don't like and swing back to maga in '28. The road to Idiocracy is paved with repeating bad choices.

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  • [–] 8 points 1 day ago

    Lol. It never is.

    Wtf is so confusing to everyone else though? Your wife beating neighbor isn't suddenly going to see the light. That person gets just as many rights as the rest of us.

    The system is broken. The US cannot stand as a singular country anymore. The world is always going to fight and it's not always going to be our responsibility to police it. I don't want to be Team America World Police. Let this place gooooooooo. Let these territories make laws that better fit their societies instead of playing two sides of the same coin for eternity.

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  • You are only going to make me vote harder.

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  • [–] 6 points 23 hours ago*

    Well I just checked and apparently we're gonna solve our problems this time by not voting just like last time...ya know because "both sides".

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  • [–] 23 points 1 day ago* (5 children)

    Right now Dem leaders are crunching the numbers, figuring out how many bribe checks they can cash and still win 51% of the vote, or 50.00001%, even better. Their best political strategists are ON IT. Just like in the last election. Nothing has fundamentally changed. Not a single. effing. thing.

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  • [–] 17 points 1 day ago (3 children)

    49.99999%. You can raise more money by almost winning, and that's what the consultants are incentivised to do.

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  • [–] 75 points 1 day ago (1 child)

    In a universe where Donald can win two elections literally anything is possible. His supporters would vote for a wet fart if it was directed at a minority.

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    [–] 29 points 1 day ago (3 children)

    I was there in 2016. Ain't nothing in the bag.

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    [–] 138 points 2 days ago (6 children)
  • [–] 38 points 1 day ago (7 children)

    Turnout is all that matters, and polls anticipate turnout/motivation.

    Always be voting for lesser evil! Rural people get luxury gay space communism voting lines. Seniors/evangelicals always turn out. You better believe that evangelicals hold their nose when they vote for Trump, but Armageddon and Israel worship is part of their programming. If you be voting, then your opinions will matter in the future. If not, then you will be safely ignored, because lemme nazis will remind you the only time politics matter to you, that DNC is shit.

    Seniors now have -21 net approval of Trump down 24 from Oct 24. They may vote against him.

    Rural voters overall have -20 net approval. Down 40 from Oct 24. Rural Republicans still net positive, but 26% disapprove of Trump, and 60% disapprove of Iran war related energy costs. There will be some flips from former, and more abstains from latter.

    Show the fuck up. Protest DNC the next day, and organize next primaries or 3rd party.

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  • [–] 13 points 1 day ago (6 children)

    I don’t think the polls are accounting for all the Republican and Trump voters that simply won’t show up this year. I’ve talked to many that voted for Trump who said to me they ain’t either voting ever again or not this time around.

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  • Republicans just really wanna use slurs and dont like seeing queer people in public. They're quiet right now while the gas prices are high but they're still gonna vote ref again.

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  • [–] 54 points 2 days ago (7 children)

    Leave it to Democrats to fuck up a cost of living mid term with high gas prices and a president in the low 30s approval rating.

    This should be the biggest blow out this century.

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  • [–] 24 points 1 day ago

    Oligarchs are the source of the problem. Citizens United means more money supporting the fascists, and control of almost every media outlet means outright fascist propaganda on the "conservative' networks, and minimized support for progressives on the "liberal" networks.

    Establishment Democrats still give us better returns on human rights compared to the fascists, but they do bow to their oligarchal masters pretty well, yes.

    The point is that progressives definitely do not have a majority in the US, much less the supermajority needed to squash fascism.

    It's up to us to deal with our oligarchs and go from there.

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    [–] 31 points 1 day ago (4 children)

    There are still way too many people who thing republicans are decent people. Maybe it's because your mother or father is a republican, but that doesn't make republicans good it makes your parents horrible.

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    [–] 65 points 2 days ago (13 children)

    Trump supporters are notoriously difficult to reach, according to a report.

    Well, that's because they can't read, are too poorly educated to obtain a proper job to afford communication utilities, and/or stubborn. Majority of them are just pedophile criminal racists and enjoy their leaders being the same.

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    [–] 7 points 1 day ago* (9 children)

    There should be a website about politicians, their history, their policies, what they actually voted for versus their stance. The democratic party has proven they're one side of the same coin, but there are still people out there trying to make a change.

    Charles Crist is a prime example of being a Repulicrat and a Democran.

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  • [–] 5 points 1 day ago (1 child)

    There is. It's called Track AIPAC But now AIPAC is changing a lot of their funding sources. I'm sure much more goes to our resident foreign paid agents through crypto too

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    [–] 47 points 2 days ago* (18 children)

    Cook Political Report forecasts Democrats will gain nine to 19 seats in the House, which would give the party a narrow majority. In the Senate, Cook predicts a potential Democratic net gain of two to six seats. Democrats would need four seats to take control of the chamber.

    The current DNC chair is gonna run a fair presidential primary in less than two years...

    No matter what happens the neoliberals will say midterms could have been better and Martin needs to resign. Because neoliberals have no chance in hell of winning a fair primary.

    And if we get a progressive in 2028 into the White House, they pick the next DNC chair in 2029.

    We're on the cusp of some real FDR shit, but neoliberals (as always) will do anything including helping Republicans to stop it.

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    [–] 7 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago)

    Democrat old guard will fight it tooth and nail. Vote early so you can hide MAGA momma's car keys on election day or unhook MAGA dad's car battery (and disconnect and hide the terminal wires too). Or just relax that day if you're fortunate enough to not have those types in your life.

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  • [–] 12 points 1 day ago

    Vote as though your life depends on it, because it fucking does!

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