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[–] 37 points 10 months ago (1 child)

Trump Administration’s Top Nuclear Scientists

Which right-wing podcasters are those?

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  • [–] 18 points 10 months ago (2 children)

    Former Navy nuke here... though I've been out for a while now and don't know if I'd still be considered an expert. Regardless, no, no it can't.

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  • [–] 14 points 10 months ago

    What could possibly go wrong?

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  • [–] 9 points 10 months ago (1 child)
  • [–] 7 points 10 months ago (1 child)
  • [–] 5 points 10 months ago

    I’m Chernobyl nothing will go wrong.

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  • [–] 4 points 10 months ago (8 children)

    Hot take I know. I'm not talking about LLMs obviously but AI could absolutely be implemented to reduce risk in a nuclear plant. Having a constant double check running for every decision could reduce the risk of a tired human pressing the wrong button and leading to a SCRAM at the very least.

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  • [–] 11 points 10 months ago (7 children)

    AI is great when it just watches and says “this is weird, maybe look at it” you can never have too many eyes

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  • [–] 2 points 10 months ago (2 children)

    That is an appropriate usage of "AI", as it's basically just pattern recognition. Something computers are really good at.

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  • [–] 2 points 10 months ago

    it’s basically just pattern recognition

    Only of a very specific kind.

    Something computers are really good at.

    They're good at recognizing the patterns they're programmed to recognize. That tells you nothing of the significance of a pattern, its impact if detected, or what the statistical error rates are of the detection algorithm and its input data. All of those are critical to making real-life decisions. So is explainabiliy, which existing AI systems don't do very well. At least Anthropic recognize that as an important research topic. OpenAI seems more concerned with monetizing what they already have.

    For something safety-critical, you can monitor critical parameters in the system's state space and alert if they go (or are likely to go) out of safe bounds. You can also model the likely effects of corrective actions. Neither of those requires any kind of AI, though you might feed ML output into your effects model(s) when constructing them. Generally speaking, if lives or health are on the line, you're going to want something more deterministic than AI to be driving your decisions. There's probably already enough fuzz due to the use of ensemble modeling.

    What computers are really good at is aggregating large volumes of data from multiple sensors, running statistical calculations on that data, transforming it into something a person can visualise, and providing decision aids to help the operators understand the consequences of potential corrective actions. But modeling the consequences depends on how well you've modeled the system, and AIs are not good at constructing those models. That still relies on humans, working according to some brutally strict methodologies.

    Source: I've written large amounts of safety-critical code and have architected several safety-critical systems that have run well. There are some interesting opportunities for more use of ML in my field. But in this space, I wouldn't touch LLMs with a barge pole. LLM-land is Marlboro country. Anyone telling you differently is running a con.

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  • [–] 1 point 10 months ago (2 children)

    you can never have too many eyes

    You can certainly have too many false positives, wasting everyone's time and distracting them from real problems.

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  • [–] 1 point 10 months ago

    What false positives do you think that an AI would alert for that a human wouldn't also have to investigate just at a slightly later time because symptoms keep trending in a direction. A nuclear reactor is an incredibly consistent system if something is giving you a "false positive" there's a solid chance something is still wrong.

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  • [–] 1 point 10 months ago

    I think we should start demanding that our entire government be run by AI. That would put them into a bipartisan panic, and AI would be banned within 6 months.

    OTH, while AI would probably be terrible at running the government, it would probably still do a better job than those clowns, so maybe we should seriously consider it.

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