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Banks are now trying to offload the AI data center debt they just underwrote (startupfortune.com)
submitted 4 days ago by to c/technology@lemmy.world
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[–] 1 point 3 days ago (6 children)

I’m not saying they will fail I’m saying they will not maintain their rate of growth.

They'll hit a saturation point eventually, sure. But demand for capacity continues to outstrip supply.

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  • [–] 2 points 2 days ago (3 children)

    If you will hit a saturation point, at some point the demand will stop outstripping the supply. Once you cannot exapand, the supply will catch up simply because the demand decreases, not considering that the supply could simply increase.

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  • [–] -1 points 2 days ago (2 children)

    because the demand decreases

    Can you point to a five year span in the last century when demand for compute has decreased?

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  • [–] 2 points 2 days ago (1 child)

    We are not at a saturation point for computer, but if you look at other fields, like smartphone, in 2026 we are set for a -7.4% so it is not impossible or never happened.

    This can have a lot of causes, not last the increase in price, but in the case of the smartphones we somewhat hit a saturation point: there are very few people who can afford to have a phone who do not yet have it.

    Same with computer and/or compute power: at some point, given that the users are a finite number, we will reach a point where no new people (users) will use it and at that point the demand will stabilize: you have only so much time to do things, both works and free time, so the demand flat out or decreases.

    The demand decreases even going from building 10 new datacenter to building only 8 new datacenter.

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  • [–] 1 point 2 days ago

    if you look at other fields, like smartphone, in 2026 we are set for a -7.4% so it is not impossible or never happened.

    Consumer electronics and business compute demands are wildly different markets.

    The demand decreases even going from building 10 new datacenter to building only 8 new datacenter.

    That's not a measure of demand

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