if i had a cosmetic company, i would question the efficacy of this method. that's not how i would like to allocate my targeted advertising budget.
what if they deleted the pics because they were just changing phones? what if it was because they ran out of space? what if they were degoogling? what if it was because they're transforming?
there are other--more likely--scenarios why a person deletes their selfies than them reaching a nadir of self-loathing. i don't see this move converting into buying actions.