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Bulletins and News Discussion from March 24th to March 30th, 2025 - The Genocide Continues - COTW: Qatar (hexbear.net)
submitted 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) by SeventyTwoTrillion@hexbear.net to c/news@hexbear.net
191 comments fedilink hide all child comments
 

Image is of Gazans breaking their fast with the Iftar meal during the ongoing Ramadan.

Due to a request by @miz@hexbear.net, this thread's COTW is Qatar.

The ceasefire deal broke down early last week after Israel unilaterally changed the terms of the agreement and then blamed Hamas for not meeting them. Violence against civilians has rapidly accelerated to pre-ceasefire levels, with many hundreds dead already, aid once again cut off, and Israeli soldiers once again entering and occupying the attritional labyrinth that is Gaza.

I'm not yet in a position to make any solid predictions or analysis, as the geopolitical situation in and around Israel has changed fairly substantially over the last 6 months; in some ways benefiting Israel, and in other ways not. We know for sure how Hamas and Ansarallah are reacting (thankfully, with open hostility to both Israel and the United States), but the state of Hezbollah has been a giant question mark for months now, and precisely what Iran plans to do (beyond the usual level of supplying weaponry and intelligence to all the allies it can) is unknown. Syria will be almost certainly be a big wildcard, and we'll have to see if the compradors in Damascus can weather the storm.

Last week's thread is here.
The Imperialism Reading Group is here.

Please check out the HexAtlas!

The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.

Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.

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[–] ziggurter@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (1 children)

Pretty good article. Especially the conclusion.

Spoiler: we're not at war with Iran, and the empire is doing nothing new... yet anyway

...

I will focus on three articles as a body of work and argue that they create a false sensationalist narrative that can only exist in a vacuum devoid of context.

...

What I see in the above three articles is a desire to conflate being at war, undergoing special preparations for war, and the Empire’s routine bellicose statecraft. This gives readers a near existential-threat which widens the window of acceptable non-war responses, and distracts from other material issues.

...

The goal here isn’t to defend Trump. It’s to refocus liberals that I feel would otherwise run around pretending like they’re hippie pacifists, all while defending a genocide in Palestine. If you don’t want a War with Iran, and you want an explicit and principled anti-war peace ticket, you need to look at least as far left as the Green Party. Rest assured, the GOP’s rhetoric is always going to be threats and chest pounding. The Democratic rhetoric is always going to trail the GOP by a single hair.

This USA is in bed with Israel and Saudi Arabia both of which view Iran as an existential threat. If The Empire continues to exist in its current form, war will never be off the table and there will always be well maintained plans for a nuclear strike on Iran. A strike which will result in the deaths of hundreds of thousands with an invasion that will easily kill a million. At least until a Mullah figures out how to refine enough Uranium to secure the regime.

If you think Trump is the worst president ever, you’re wrong. George W. Bush ran circles around Trump. I remember George W. Bush. When we’re seriously considering a war with Iran, they’ll bring back Section 9528 of No Child Left Behind (2002) or some similar Obama-era nonsense with a nicer veneer. Then we will again have military recruiters at our high school lunch tables. I remember those days. Iran won’t be a cake walk. If and when we get serious, we’ll give high school kids invitations to the imperial meat grinder.

Good stuff on the rhetoric, nuclear doctrine, etc. in the elided sections. But this summarizes the essence of the message, I think.

[–] MarmiteLover123@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

How threatening is a B-52, anyway? They were made in 1955. In one operation lasting 11 days in 1972, North Vietnam shot down 15 of them; 34 according to North Vietnam. And then the B-52 was only 17 years old. Now it’s 70 years old.

Yes, the B-52 can carry nukes, but so can the stealth F-35. In fact, the F-35 can carry the B61-12 which has 50 kiloton yield — substantially more than the combined yield of the bombs dropped on Hiroshima (15 kiloton) and Nagasaki (25 kiloton).

That's not exactly correct. If B-52s are ever going to be deployed against Iran, they will not be entering Iranian airspace. They'll be lobbing long range cruise missiles at Iran from outside of Iranian airspace (similar to Russian Tu-95M bombers against Ukraine), including those with conventional or electromagnetic/microwave warheads in the CHAMP missile. In the extremely unlikely event that the B-52s would deploy nuclear weapons, these would also be standoff cruise missiles. AGM-158B JASSM-ER cruise missiles (conventional or electromagnetic warheads) have a range of over 600 miles/1000km. AGM-86B cruise missiles (nuclear armed) have a range of over 1 500mi/2 400km. B-52s won't be getting close to Iranian airspace. The challenge to Iran would be shooting down the cruise missiles, not the B-52 itself. B-52s won't be carpet bombing Vietnam as they did over half a century ago. Warfare has changed. Bombers like the B-52 or Tu-95 are relegated to the role of "cruise missile trucks" against an opponent with air defence systems.

The B61 is a gravity bomb, the F-35s or B-2 Spirit stealth aircraft carrying them would have to penetrate deeply into Iranian airspace to carry out the these missions. It's a completely different threat profile to the B-52. A stealth aircraft penetrating deeply into Iranian airspace versus an aircraft lobbing cruise missiles from hundreds of miles away. B61 yield can also be dialled down to as low as 0.3 kilotons. It's these lower yield options that make nuclear war more likely, not the higher yield settings.

In the extremely unlikely event that a nuclear first strike is launched against Iran, it would come from the submarine vector, in the form of Submarine Launched Ballistic Missiles (SLBMs) like the Trident-II D5. No one knows where the submarines are, they could launch from literally anywhere on the earth's oceans, including right next to Iran itself. It's different to bombers or aircraft parked in Saudi Arabia or Diego Garcia. Iran would get minutes of warning, if that, from their over the horizon early warning radars, provided that they're not suppressed or destroyed simultaneously. The velocity at the start of re-entry into the earth's atmosphere for a Trident MIRV is Mach 24, 24 times the speed of sound, and each Trident missile has 12 MIRVs. There is no intercepting that. This makes it a very inviting option for a nuclear first strike, compared to lobbing cruise missiles or entering Iranian airspace with stealth aircraft.

Building on that, the point Klippstien was making is that the Trident-II SLBMs have access to a new tactical nuclear warhead, one that did not exist previously. Previously the lowest yield warhead available to the Trident-II was the W-76 Mod 1, at 90 kilotons yeild each. This meant that a tactical use of this weapon was not possible, the yeild was too high. So tactical nuclear strikes were limited to cruise missiles and gravity bombs. Now there's a new warhead for the Trident-II, the W-76 Mod 2, with a yield as low as 5 kilotons each. Again, each Trident-II SLBM can be armed with 12 of these warheads simultaneously. The 45 times lower yield per warhead makes the option of using this vector for a nuclear attack much more palatable to generals and politicians. It's a new tactical nuclear vector that was only fully incorporated under Biden's administration, in the new warplans, and not available previously. Now the Trident-II SLBM can be used tactically, with all the advantages the MIRV capable SLBM vector has over cruise missiles and gravity bombs. Where Klippstien goes wrong is assuming that Biden or Trump makes a difference here, this is the evolution of warfare and US government policy. If any politician is to blame it's probably Obama for pushing for the modernisation of the US tactical nuclear arsenal.

Don't get me wrong I still think that Klippstien is being extremely sensationalist and that a nuclear strike on Iran is extremely unlikely, and trying to act as if Trump is some unique actor here is an incorrect conclusion. But it's important to get the facts right on exactly what kind of threat Iran faces, and why tactical nuclear strikes are seen as more palatable due to the development of new low yield weapons from new attack vectors. The new weapons are a significant military development.

Sorry if this comes across as harsh, but when Carrol calls his substack the "Scientific Journal of Objective Truths and Proof", and gets the objective truths and proofs wrong, I feel the need to correct it.

[–] Evilphd666@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago

HHS will cut 10,000 jobs as part of a major restructuring plan

[–] very_poggers_gay@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

Every Western outlet stumbling over itself to report on “anti-Hamas” protests in Gaza is some heinous shit.

https://amp.cnn.com/cnn/2025/03/26/middleeast/why-gazans-are-protesting-hamas-now-intl-latam

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c4g71lk09npo.amp

A photo of it was also near the top of Reddit, and there’s dozens of top comments about “it looks like they’re all children!” and of course blaming the genocide on Hamas from their enlightened perch inside the empire that is responsible for the genocide.

https://www.reddit.com/r/pics/comments/1jkekcz/antihamas_protesters_in_gaza_call_for_an_end_to/

illegal-to-say

… it says a lot about Western “civilization” that witnessing a few hundred children allegedly protesting the Resistance evokes more empathy than the slaughter of tens of thousands by the empire. Complete dehumanization, until they can be straw-manned into a pro-empire position

[–] mkultrawide@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (4 children)

New: Rubio confirmed he revoked the visa of the Tufts student and said he likely has revoked the visas of hundreds more. “We do it every day. Every time I find one of these lunatics, I take way their visas." The total # of revoked visas “might be more than 300 at this point." The student had co-authored an opinion column on Gaza in the student newspaper. Rubio was asked what she did to merit her visa being revoked, but did not offer specifics to her case, only suggesting that his criteria goes beyond writing columns.

https://x.com/John_Hudson/status/1905315517642281226

https://xcancel.com/John_Hudson/status/1905315517642281226

Asked if they have any intelligence to suggest foreign backing for pro-Palestinian college protests, Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard tells Congress, "there are some assessments that reflect that and we can talk about that in the closed session."

https://x.com/kenklippenstein/status/1905111743711289707

https://xcancel.com/kenklippenstein/status/1905111743711289707

There is a clear moment here to cast Zionism as a direct threat to "American liberties" (I know a lot of people here won't phrase like that but it is what it is) but I highly doubt any Democrats have the spine to push it.

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[–] Lovely_sombrero@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (1 children)

Rumor is that US Hedge Funds are already asking the federal government to prepare for a bailout. The last time that the US government bailed out hedge funds was when they bailed out basis trades. Basically, hedge funds are getting reliable profits from tiny differences between Treasuries and derivatives, but this is only profitable as long as the government bails you out when you would be taking a loss. Last time a government bailout of this sector happened was 2019/2020. Imagine playing in a casino and when you lose, the government covers that, but you are free to walk away with any winnings.

[–] SevenSkalls@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago (1 children)

But I was told the rich deserve to have all the money because they take on the risk.

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[–] vegeta1@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (1 children)

https://www.yahoo.com/news/poland-withstand-invasion-2-weeks-123604109.html Poland can withstand invasion for 2 weeks before NATO steps in, security chief says

Been saying people really underestimate the logistics of a total war.

[–] sexywheat@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago (7 children)

Fortunately for them they won't have to. Why tf would Russia invade Poland?

The euros are truly huffing their own farts if they think that. Seriously, no honest attempt has been made by the west to understand Russia's motivation for the war in Ukraine.

[–] VILenin@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago

Western media has been inundated with asinine stories relating to hypothetical WWIII level events. It’s designed to sow fear, and should never be mistaken as having anything to do with reality

[–] sempersigh@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago (1 children)

I think they know it won't happen but they still have to pretend that it's a strong possibility because to say otherwise would imply that russia has an actual calculus for why it does anything instead of pure barbarity and malice

[–] coolusername@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago

it's just CIA propaganda

[–] Huitzilopochtli@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

In a just world someone would do something to stop the perfidious Poles, but we do not live in a just world poland-cool

[–] YellowJackets2TheParish@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago (2 children)

Why tf would Russia invade Poland?

There just so evil and orcish and Putin is the Jonkler he's crazy but that's okay NATO exists and would Article 5 a war so Putin will never try to invade but we have to be ready because he's five seconds from invading Poland and Finland simultaneously.

It's simple really.

[–] ziggurter@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago

Schrödinger's military "defense" compact.

[–] Frank@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago

Eastern Europe's whole mythology for justifying their own existence has been warped in to fighting a righteous war against a Soviet Union that doesn't exist.

[–] Frank@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago

The depths of anti-communist delusion are fully on display when Euros think that a fragmentary rump state can or would do what the USSR never attempted at the height of it's global super-power

[–] mkultrawide@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago (1 children)

"Hold out for X weeks until the Americans show up" is the strategic defense plan for a Russian invasion for pretty much every Baltic and Nordic state.

[–] MarmiteLover123@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

Not just the Baltics and Nordics, it's been the plan for Europe and NATO since the start of the cold war lol. "We just need to hold the Soviets and their Warsaw Pact allies back until the Americans help us" was the old version.

[–] vegeta1@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (3 children)

I'm curious too... Is there any indication that his ambitions lie beyond Ukraine? Like seriously apart from the vague so called election interference and so. Because geopolitical rivalry aside it would be a nightmarish endeavour

[–] coolusername@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

No. It's just CIA propaganda. If you listen to any of their ambassadors talk they always talk about rule of law. Their grievances with the US is never ever mentioned in US media.

[–] Formerlyfarman@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago

He spent 8 years trying to return the Donbas, but the Danes were to racist to accept his condition of "don't kill everyone there"

[–] CleverOleg@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (1 children)

People don’t realize just how long Putin has been at the helm - over 25 years now. And in that time, the only places Russia has ever invaded before Ukraine are I think Chechnya and Dagestan - both very small, both within the former USSR and for both it wasn’t as simple as “Putin grab land”, lots of other shit going on there. Given how long he’s been there if he’s bent on rolling the tanks through Eastern Europe he hasn’t shown any indication yet that he wants to do that. And the euros can’t even provide a coherent explanation of why Putin would want to take over the Baltics or Poland other than “he eeeevil and wants to rebuild the Russian empire!” Just completely decoupled from reality.

Objectively, Europe is more likely to be invaded by the US than they are Russia.

[–] vegeta1@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago (2 children)

Seriously and conquering land is one thing. Holding on to them is anothet and europe is a whole lotta land. There is also the inni tinsy little matter in all these war games. I can't put my finger on... Ah FUCKING NUKES.

[–] Frank@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago (1 children)

The way so many American's and Euros are just utterly indifferent to the existence of nukes and MAD is horrifying. They don't view nukes as real things that are a factor in war and diplomacy, and if htey don't believe in nukes in a real immediate way they might blithely use them, or provoke the use of them.

[–] vegeta1@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago

I do not see these discussions. I always see navy etc scenarios none of the nuke discussions. Its always an afterthought for some reason.

[–] dumpster_dove@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago (1 children)

Even annexing the whole Ukraine just isn't a realistic option for Russia.

Just imagine trying to do a "US in Afghanistan" but without the USD infinite money glitch, while NATO props up resistance fighters.

[–] TheLastHero@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago

I'd argue that's better for russia long term over west Ukraine allowing NATO troops. The geography is way too yielding and it is WW3 waiting to happen. They really have to ensure demilitarization and neutrality if Ukraine is going to get out of this still independent.

[–] SexUnderSocialism@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (4 children)

In the Netherlands (ruled by a fascist coalition government) a bill sponsored by the neolib social democrat leader of the biggest opposition party (GL-PvdA) to help fund Radio Free Europe to make up for the loss of US funds was passed. Even the Socialist Party voted in favor. The only parties who opposed it were the CDA (right-wing Christian democrats), FVD (fascists), and PVV (fascists).

agony-consuming

[–] MarmiteLover123@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago (1 children)

The left giving up the "anti imperialist" position to the right is quite a worrying sign. And it's been happening in Europe since the start of the Ukraine - Russia war.

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[–] Eldungeon2@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

The European socialist or social democratic parties are just American democrats tbh

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[–] LargePenis@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (2 children)

Let's talk Qatar.

I have been always fascinated by Qatar. Their weird contradictory political position, together with their ruthless ambition makes them a genuinely interesting country to observe. I spent a few weeks touring the Middle East before covid and getting married and settling down. Of all the Gulf states, Qatar was the country that gave me the biggest feeling of "living here wouldn't be bad you know". The UAE is of course the posterchild of Gulf states, but everything about it felt artificial, but Qatar is authentic in a way that I can't describe. The Friday sermon in the Doha mosque that I went to talked in detail about a Muslim's duty to defend other Muslims, while the UAE mosque talked about a Muslim's duty to honor his leaders. Qatar is in some way committed to what I can only describe as Islamic populism, which doesn't put the country as a natural enemy to Iran's Islamic republicanism.

Their projects are also more successful than expected. They were the only committed Arab nation to toppling Assad by 2024, and succeeded in that. They managed to stabilise Tripoli in Libya and their areas are way more successful and stable than the UAE-backed warlord government in Benghazi. They weathered the storm from Western media and hosted a successful FIFA World Cup. They built a good metro system that doesn't just serve the Disney Land style straight line developments like the Dubai Metro. They integrated the sons of immigrants to Qatar in a way that the UAE completely failed in doing, which is why the Qatari football team is now filled with Yemenis, Egyptians and Iraqis fighting for the team and winning cups while the UAE plays Brazilian boomers and gets embarrassed. They overcame the dumbass siege that the UAE and Saudi Arabia put on them in 2017 with an incredible resilience that strengthened their national identity. Their media investments has made Al Jazeera the undisputed number one news channel in the Arab World, BeIN Sports the number one sports network in the world, and almost every good Arab journalist has spent some time in Qatar. Their only big L is perhaps losing the battle with the UAE in Egypt when they failed to protect the MB against the military coup in 2013.

I have some strange admiration for them that is completely illogical and contradictory compared to my political beliefs. They're in tune with the Arab public in a way that the UAE and Saudi could never achieve. They've leveraged their relations with Hamas, Israel, the Taliban, Iran and Hezbollah into something that generated some kind of material benefit unlike the UAE's disgusting endless cucking for American Republican and Israeli interests. In the end, yeah, they're an American client state with a massive military base in Al Udaid, but their million sins can perhaps be slightly washed away by the fact that a random Sudanese civilian can wear a Sinwar hoodie on their way to a Friday sermon about the slaughter of civilians in Gaza, while watching Al Jazeera's coverage of Israel's bombing of South Lebanon.

I'm just rambling here, so I hope it's at least semi-coherent.

[–] CleverOleg@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago (1 children)

Over the past year and a half, Al-Jazeera’s coverage of the genocide has been invaluable to me to understand what is going on. Without them, as a westerner who only speaks English, I feel like it would be much harder to be aware of the situation, there’s such a media blackout here. I get the complaints about AJ and when it comes to news regarding Qatar specifically I take with a dose of skepticism. But on the balance they are an incredibly valuable news source.

[–] coolusername@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago

you need to get on specific telegram channels

[–] FunkyStuff@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago

Thanks for your perspective - Qatar does indeed stand out as a land of contradictions, principally and materially an imperialist client state but culturally on the vanguard.

[–] FuckyWucky@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago (2 children)

Grok's woke

https://x.com/AssLatam/status/1905054127173836848

[–] Frogmanfromlake@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago (1 children)

Salvadoran’s have a chip on their shoulder when it comes to Mexico so he probably died a little inside reading that.

[–] Huitzilopochtli@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago

They really do. The only Salvadorans I can stand are indigenous, and they are treated like shit.

[–] Civility@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago

Live Bukele reaction:

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